Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects diffused consensus with equal 44.5% implied probabilities across all New York City median home value bins for April 30, 2026, per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (price per square foot times 1,000 sq ft median home size), signaling high uncertainty after late February's $590,110 reading showed modest 0.6% month-over-month stability amid falling sales volumes down 7-14% year-over-year. Low inventory and resilient demand from urban rebound compete with persistent 6.5-7% mortgage rates curbing buyer affordability, while January CPI inflation at 2.4% bolsters rate cut hopes for May FOMC. Key swing factors include spring listing surge and March transaction data; watch April 22 pending home sales release for directional cues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日<568k 45%
568 - 575k 45%
575 - 582k 45%
582 - 589k 45%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
<568k
45%
568 - 575k
45%
575 - 582k
45%
582 - 589k
45%
589 - 596k
45%
596 - 603k
45%
603 - 610k
45%
>610k
45%
<568k 45%
568 - 575k 45%
575 - 582k 45%
582 - 589k 45%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
<568k
$0 Vol.
45%
568 - 575k
$0 Vol.
45%
575 - 582k
$0 Vol.
45%
582 - 589k
$0 Vol.
45%
589 - 596k
$0 Vol.
45%
596 - 603k
$0 Vol.
45%
603 - 610k
$0 Vol.
45%
>610k
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects diffused consensus with equal 44.5% implied probabilities across all New York City median home value bins for April 30, 2026, per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (price per square foot times 1,000 sq ft median home size), signaling high uncertainty after late February's $590,110 reading showed modest 0.6% month-over-month stability amid falling sales volumes down 7-14% year-over-year. Low inventory and resilient demand from urban rebound compete with persistent 6.5-7% mortgage rates curbing buyer affordability, while January CPI inflation at 2.4% bolsters rate cut hopes for May FOMC. Key swing factors include spring listing surge and March transaction data; watch April 22 pending home sales release for directional cues.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects diffused consensus with equal 44.5% implied probabilities across all New York City median home value bins for April 30, 2026, per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (price per square foot times 1,000 sq ft median home size), signaling high uncertainty after late February's $590,110 reading showed modest 0.6% month-over-month stability amid falling sales volumes down 7-14% year-over-year. Low inventory and resilient demand from urban rebound compete with persistent 6.5-7% mortgage rates curbing buyer affordability, while January CPI inflation at 2.4% bolsters rate cut hopes for May FOMC. Key swing factors include spring listing surge and March transaction data; watch April 22 pending home sales release for directional cues.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects diffused consensus with equal 44.5% implied probabilities across all New York City median home value bins for April 30, 2026, per Parcl Labs Sales Price Index (price per square foot times 1,000 sq ft median home size), signaling high uncertainty after late February's $590,110 reading showed modest 0.6% month-over-month stability amid falling sales volumes down 7-14% year-over-year. Low inventory and resilient demand from urban rebound compete with persistent 6.5-7% mortgage rates curbing buyer affordability, while January CPI inflation at 2.4% bolsters rate cut hopes for May FOMC. Key swing factors include spring listing surge and March transaction data; watch April 22 pending home sales release for directional cues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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