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エコノミー·住宅

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
エコノミー·住宅

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?

<1.17m 46%

1.17 - 1.18m 46%

1.18 - 1.19m 46%

1.19 - 1.2m 46%

Polymarket
新規

<1.17m 46%

1.17 - 1.18m 46%

1.18 - 1.19m 46%

1.19 - 1.2m 46%

Polymarket
新規

<1.17m

$0 Vol.

46%

1.17 - 1.18m

$0 Vol.

46%

1.18 - 1.19m

$0 Vol.

46%

1.19 - 1.2m

$0 Vol.

46%

1.2 - 1.21m

$0 Vol.

46%

1.21 - 1.22m

$0 Vol.

46%

>1.22m

$0 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)Polymarket traders express balanced uncertainty with 45.5% implied probabilities across all bins for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 30, reflecting a closely contested outlook centered around $1.17-1.22 million. February 2026 data from Zillow's Home Value Index and Redfin median sale prices showed year-over-year declines of 1-5% for the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim area, driven by modestly rising inventory (up slightly month-over-month) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates suppressing demand. Persistent low supply and robust local employment provide counterbalance, creating equilibrium. Key differentiators: March housing data releases mid-April and potential Fed rate guidance, alongside spring buying momentum, could sway the trajectory amid stable national forecasts of 0.7% annual home value growth.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
音量
$0
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)Polymarket traders express balanced uncertainty with 45.5% implied probabilities across all bins for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 30, reflecting a closely contested outlook centered around $1.17-1.22 million. February 2026 data from Zillow's Home Value Index and Redfin median sale prices showed year-over-year declines of 1-5% for the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim area, driven by modestly rising inventory (up slightly month-over-month) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates suppressing demand. Persistent low supply and robust local employment provide counterbalance, creating equilibrium. Key differentiators: March housing data releases mid-April and potential Fed rate guidance, alongside spring buying momentum, could sway the trajectory amid stable national forecasts of 0.7% annual home value growth.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
音量
$0
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「<1.17m」で46%、次いで「1.17 - 1.18m」が46%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、46¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に46%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 30, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?」の現在のフロントランナーは「<1.17m」で46%であり、市場がこの結果に46%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「1.17 - 1.18m」で46%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。