Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects tightly contested market-implied probabilities clustered around 415k–439k for Austin metro median home value on April 30, driven by Central Texas MLS data showing February 2026 median prices near $415k amid a post-pandemic correction down 24% from 2022 peaks, with March figures ticking up to ~$449k per early reports. Increased inventory at 4.9 months' supply and elevated days-on-market (91–96) signal buyer leverage and potential softening, offsetting resilient local job growth in tech and healthcare; persistent 6–7% mortgage rates cap demand upside. Key swing factors include April sales volume from Austin Board of Realtors releases and Federal Reserve signals on rate cuts, with traders pricing in stabilization over sharp moves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日419 - 423k 49%
427 - 431k 49%
415 - 419k 47%
<415k 47%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
<415k
47%
415 - 419k
47%
419 - 423k
49%
423 - 427k
46%
427 - 431k
49%
431 - 435k
44%
435 - 439k
46%
>439k
46%
419 - 423k 49%
427 - 431k 49%
415 - 419k 47%
<415k 47%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
<415k
$0 Vol.
47%
415 - 419k
$0 Vol.
47%
419 - 423k
$0 Vol.
49%
423 - 427k
$0 Vol.
46%
427 - 431k
$0 Vol.
49%
431 - 435k
$0 Vol.
44%
435 - 439k
$0 Vol.
46%
>439k
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects tightly contested market-implied probabilities clustered around 415k–439k for Austin metro median home value on April 30, driven by Central Texas MLS data showing February 2026 median prices near $415k amid a post-pandemic correction down 24% from 2022 peaks, with March figures ticking up to ~$449k per early reports. Increased inventory at 4.9 months' supply and elevated days-on-market (91–96) signal buyer leverage and potential softening, offsetting resilient local job growth in tech and healthcare; persistent 6–7% mortgage rates cap demand upside. Key swing factors include April sales volume from Austin Board of Realtors releases and Federal Reserve signals on rate cuts, with traders pricing in stabilization over sharp moves.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects tightly contested market-implied probabilities clustered around 415k–439k for Austin metro median home value on April 30, driven by Central Texas MLS data showing February 2026 median prices near $415k amid a post-pandemic correction down 24% from 2022 peaks, with March figures ticking up to ~$449k per early reports. Increased inventory at 4.9 months' supply and elevated days-on-market (91–96) signal buyer leverage and potential softening, offsetting resilient local job growth in tech and healthcare; persistent 6–7% mortgage rates cap demand upside. Key swing factors include April sales volume from Austin Board of Realtors releases and Federal Reserve signals on rate cuts, with traders pricing in stabilization over sharp moves.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects tightly contested market-implied probabilities clustered around 415k–439k for Austin metro median home value on April 30, driven by Central Texas MLS data showing February 2026 median prices near $415k amid a post-pandemic correction down 24% from 2022 peaks, with March figures ticking up to ~$449k per early reports. Increased inventory at 4.9 months' supply and elevated days-on-market (91–96) signal buyer leverage and potential softening, offsetting resilient local job growth in tech and healthcare; persistent 6–7% mortgage rates cap demand upside. Key swing factors include April sales volume from Austin Board of Realtors releases and Federal Reserve signals on rate cuts, with traders pricing in stabilization over sharp moves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問