As of late August 2026, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averages 6.66% according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, holding near 13-month highs amid sticky inflation and a resilient labor market. Core PCE readings near 3.4% and solid nonfarm payroll gains have reduced the odds of near-term Federal Reserve easing, keeping the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75% and supporting 10-year Treasury yields. Geopolitical tensions and elevated oil prices have added to term premium pressures, while heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits has sustained a wide mortgage-to-Treasury spread around 200 basis points. Upcoming inflation releases, employment reports, and FOMC meetings will likely determine whether rates can break lower before year-end or remain range-bound near current levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$50,792 Vol.
2026/12/30
↑ 7.50％
46%
↑ 7.25%
48%
↑ 7.00％
39%
↑ 6.75%
85%
↓ 6.50%
43%
↓ 6.25％
43%
↓ 6.00％
42%
↓ 5.90%
20%
↓ 5.70％
2%
↓ 5.50%
10%
$50,792 Vol.
↑ 7.50％
$0 Vol.
46%
↑ 7.25%
$62 Vol.
48%
↑ 7.00％
$64 Vol.
39%
↑ 6.75%
$181 Vol.
85%
↓ 6.50%
$0 Vol.
43%
↓ 6.25％
$0 Vol.
43%
↓ 6.00％
$0 Vol.
42%
↓ 5.90%
$6,201 Vol.
20%
↓ 5.70％
$7,209 Vol.
2%
↓ 5.50%
$72 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.As of late August 2026, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averages 6.66% according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, holding near 13-month highs amid sticky inflation and a resilient labor market. Core PCE readings near 3.4% and solid nonfarm payroll gains have reduced the odds of near-term Federal Reserve easing, keeping the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75% and supporting 10-year Treasury yields. Geopolitical tensions and elevated oil prices have added to term premium pressures, while heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits has sustained a wide mortgage-to-Treasury spread around 200 basis points. Upcoming inflation releases, employment reports, and FOMC meetings will likely determine whether rates can break lower before year-end or remain range-bound near current levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
音量
$50,792終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.As of late August 2026, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averages 6.66% according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, holding near 13-month highs amid sticky inflation and a resilient labor market. Core PCE readings near 3.4% and solid nonfarm payroll gains have reduced the odds of near-term Federal Reserve easing, keeping the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75% and supporting 10-year Treasury yields. Geopolitical tensions and elevated oil prices have added to term premium pressures, while heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits has sustained a wide mortgage-to-Treasury spread around 200 basis points. Upcoming inflation releases, employment reports, and FOMC meetings will likely determine whether rates can break lower before year-end or remain range-bound near current levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
音量
$50,792終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...As of late August 2026, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate averages 6.66% according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, holding near 13-month highs amid sticky inflation and a resilient labor market. Core PCE readings near 3.4% and solid nonfarm payroll gains have reduced the odds of near-term Federal Reserve easing, keeping the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75% and supporting 10-year Treasury yields. Geopolitical tensions and elevated oil prices have added to term premium pressures, while heavy Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits has sustained a wide mortgage-to-Treasury spread around 200 basis points. Upcoming inflation releases, employment reports, and FOMC meetings will likely determine whether rates can break lower before year-end or remain range-bound near current levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問