The 30-year fixed mortgage rate currently averages 6.67-6.71% as of mid-August 2026, tracking the 10-year Treasury yield amid stable Fed policy that has held the federal funds rate unchanged through 2026. Cooling inflation data and mixed labor market signals have supported modest rate compression from 2025 peaks, though persistent economic resilience keeps long-term yields elevated. Market-implied odds reflect trader expectations for rates to hover in the mid-6% range through year-end, per Fannie Mae and MBA forecasts, with limited scope for sharp moves absent stronger disinflation or labor softening. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, nonfarm payrolls, and the next FOMC meeting, which will shape 10-year yield trajectories and mortgage spreads.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$50,730 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 7.50％
51%
↑ 7.25%
50%
↑ 7.00％
49%
↑ 6.75%
83%
↓ 6.50%
38%
↓ 6.25％
44%
↓ 6.00％
41%
↓ 5.90%
19%
↓ 5.70％
2%
↓ 5.50%
10%
$50,730 Vol.
↑ 7.50％
$0 Vol.
51%
↑ 7.25%
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ 7.00％
$64 Vol.
49%
↑ 6.75%
$181 Vol.
83%
↓ 6.50%
$0 Vol.
38%
↓ 6.25％
$0 Vol.
44%
↓ 6.00％
$0 Vol.
41%
↓ 5.90%
$6,201 Vol.
19%
↓ 5.70％
$7,209 Vol.
2%
↓ 5.50%
$72 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.The 30-year fixed mortgage rate currently averages 6.67-6.71% as of mid-August 2026, tracking the 10-year Treasury yield amid stable Fed policy that has held the federal funds rate unchanged through 2026. Cooling inflation data and mixed labor market signals have supported modest rate compression from 2025 peaks, though persistent economic resilience keeps long-term yields elevated. Market-implied odds reflect trader expectations for rates to hover in the mid-6% range through year-end, per Fannie Mae and MBA forecasts, with limited scope for sharp moves absent stronger disinflation or labor softening. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, nonfarm payrolls, and the next FOMC meeting, which will shape 10-year yield trajectories and mortgage spreads.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
音量
$50,730終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.The 30-year fixed mortgage rate currently averages 6.67-6.71% as of mid-August 2026, tracking the 10-year Treasury yield amid stable Fed policy that has held the federal funds rate unchanged through 2026. Cooling inflation data and mixed labor market signals have supported modest rate compression from 2025 peaks, though persistent economic resilience keeps long-term yields elevated. Market-implied odds reflect trader expectations for rates to hover in the mid-6% range through year-end, per Fannie Mae and MBA forecasts, with limited scope for sharp moves absent stronger disinflation or labor softening. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, nonfarm payrolls, and the next FOMC meeting, which will shape 10-year yield trajectories and mortgage spreads.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
音量
$50,730終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 30-year fixed mortgage rate currently averages 6.67-6.71% as of mid-August 2026, tracking the 10-year Treasury yield amid stable Fed policy that has held the federal funds rate unchanged through 2026. Cooling inflation data and mixed labor market signals have supported modest rate compression from 2025 peaks, though persistent economic resilience keeps long-term yields elevated. Market-implied odds reflect trader expectations for rates to hover in the mid-6% range through year-end, per Fannie Mae and MBA forecasts, with limited scope for sharp moves absent stronger disinflation or labor softening. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI releases, nonfarm payrolls, and the next FOMC meeting, which will shape 10-year yield trajectories and mortgage spreads.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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