Mortgage rates remain anchored near 6.67-6.71% in mid-August 2026, tracking the 10-year Treasury yield amid subdued inflation readings and a Federal Reserve that has paused further easing after prior cuts. The spread between Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities continues to influence pricing, while recent weekly data from Freddie Mac show modest declines from 6.69% the prior week and stability versus year-ago levels. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to persistence in the mid-6% range through year-end, driven by labor market resilience and contained price pressures rather than aggressive policy shifts. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, FOMC communications on the federal funds rate path, and Treasury yield movements that could alter implied probabilities for any threshold breach.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$50,730 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 7.50％
43%
↑ 7.25%
43%
↑ 7.00％
39%
↑ 6.75%
83%
↓ 6.50%
38%
↓ 6.25％
42%
↓ 6.00％
38%
↓ 5.90%
18%
↓ 5.70％
2%
↓ 5.50%
10%
$50,730 Vol.
↑ 7.50％
$0 Vol.
43%
↑ 7.25%
$0 Vol.
43%
↑ 7.00％
$64 Vol.
39%
↑ 6.75%
$181 Vol.
83%
↓ 6.50%
$0 Vol.
38%
↓ 6.25％
$0 Vol.
42%
↓ 6.00％
$0 Vol.
38%
↓ 5.90%
$6,201 Vol.
18%
↓ 5.70％
$7,209 Vol.
2%
↓ 5.50%
$72 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates remain anchored near 6.67-6.71% in mid-August 2026, tracking the 10-year Treasury yield amid subdued inflation readings and a Federal Reserve that has paused further easing after prior cuts. The spread between Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities continues to influence pricing, while recent weekly data from Freddie Mac show modest declines from 6.69% the prior week and stability versus year-ago levels. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to persistence in the mid-6% range through year-end, driven by labor market resilience and contained price pressures rather than aggressive policy shifts. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, FOMC communications on the federal funds rate path, and Treasury yield movements that could alter implied probabilities for any threshold breach.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
音量
$50,730終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates remain anchored near 6.67-6.71% in mid-August 2026, tracking the 10-year Treasury yield amid subdued inflation readings and a Federal Reserve that has paused further easing after prior cuts. The spread between Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities continues to influence pricing, while recent weekly data from Freddie Mac show modest declines from 6.69% the prior week and stability versus year-ago levels. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to persistence in the mid-6% range through year-end, driven by labor market resilience and contained price pressures rather than aggressive policy shifts. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, FOMC communications on the federal funds rate path, and Treasury yield movements that could alter implied probabilities for any threshold breach.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
音量
$50,730終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mortgage rates remain anchored near 6.67-6.71% in mid-August 2026, tracking the 10-year Treasury yield amid subdued inflation readings and a Federal Reserve that has paused further easing after prior cuts. The spread between Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities continues to influence pricing, while recent weekly data from Freddie Mac show modest declines from 6.69% the prior week and stability versus year-ago levels. Forecasts from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association point to persistence in the mid-6% range through year-end, driven by labor market resilience and contained price pressures rather than aggressive policy shifts. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, FOMC communications on the federal funds rate path, and Treasury yield movements that could alter implied probabilities for any threshold breach.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問