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エコノミー·イラン

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Market icon
エコノミー·イラン

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

3月 31

4月 30

3月 31

4月 30

新規
2026/04/30
Polymarket

$1,810 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$119 Vol.

10%

↑ $4.75

$130 Vol.

16%

↑ $4.50

$209 Vol.

46%

↑ $4.25

$98 Vol.

76%

↑ $4.15

$40 Vol.

87%

↑ $4.05

$165 Vol.

90%

↓ $3.95

$325 Vol.

82%

↓ $3.85

$338 Vol.

37%

↓ $3.75

$39 Vol.

28%

↓ $3.50

$0 Vol.

41%

↓ $3.25

$0 Vol.

40%

↓ $3.00

$351 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices recently surpassed $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by surging crude oil costs above $110 per barrel amid escalating U.S.-Israel military actions against Iran that began in late February 2026. This conflict disrupted Middle East oil shipments, causing a $1-plus jump in pump prices throughout March, compounded by seasonal refinery maintenance wrap-ups and rising spring break demand. Traders monitor ongoing geopolitical tensions, potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and weekly EIA reports for de-escalation signals or further supply shocks that could push prices higher or stabilize them before April 30 resolution. Historical precedents show rapid reversals possible with diplomatic breakthroughs, though summer driving season looms as an upside risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$1,810
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices recently surpassed $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, driven primarily by surging crude oil costs above $110 per barrel amid escalating U.S.-Israel military actions against Iran that began in late February 2026. This conflict disrupted Middle East oil shipments, causing a $1-plus jump in pump prices throughout March, compounded by seasonal refinery maintenance wrap-ups and rising spring break demand. Traders monitor ongoing geopolitical tensions, potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and weekly EIA reports for de-escalation signals or further supply shocks that could push prices higher or stabilize them before April 30 resolution. Historical precedents show rapid reversals possible with diplomatic breakthroughs, though summer driving season looms as an upside risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$1,810
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will gas hit __ by end of April?」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↑ $4.05」で90%、次いで「↑ $4.15」が87%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、90¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に90%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will gas hit __ by end of April?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 31, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Will gas hit __ by end of April?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will gas hit __ by end of April?」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑ $4.05」で90%であり、市場がこの結果に90%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↑ $4.15」で87%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will gas hit __ by end of April?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。