Mohammed bin Salman remains firmly entrenched as Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince, Prime Minister, and de facto leader, with King Salman facing ongoing health issues including recent medical treatments for lung inflammation as of October 2024. No credible reports of internal royal family challenges, coups, or policy reversals have emerged in the past 30 days to threaten his position, solidified by the 2017 anti-corruption campaign, military control, and Vision 2030 economic reforms. Trader sentiment reflects the absolute monarchy's stability, low historical precedent for abrupt leadership changes, and MBS's diplomatic balancing act with the US, China, and regional actors like Iran. Key risks include accelerated royal health decline or Yemen ceasefire breakdowns, with no scheduled events imminent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
5%
December 31
10%
$1 Vol.
June 30
$1 Vol.
5%
December 31
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammed bin Salman remains firmly entrenched as Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince, Prime Minister, and de facto leader, with King Salman facing ongoing health issues including recent medical treatments for lung inflammation as of October 2024. No credible reports of internal royal family challenges, coups, or policy reversals have emerged in the past 30 days to threaten his position, solidified by the 2017 anti-corruption campaign, military control, and Vision 2030 economic reforms. Trader sentiment reflects the absolute monarchy's stability, low historical precedent for abrupt leadership changes, and MBS's diplomatic balancing act with the US, China, and regional actors like Iran. Key risks include accelerated royal health decline or Yemen ceasefire breakdowns, with no scheduled events imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
音量
$1終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 1:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammed bin Salman remains firmly entrenched as Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince, Prime Minister, and de facto leader, with King Salman facing ongoing health issues including recent medical treatments for lung inflammation as of October 2024. No credible reports of internal royal family challenges, coups, or policy reversals have emerged in the past 30 days to threaten his position, solidified by the 2017 anti-corruption campaign, military control, and Vision 2030 economic reforms. Trader sentiment reflects the absolute monarchy's stability, low historical precedent for abrupt leadership changes, and MBS's diplomatic balancing act with the US, China, and regional actors like Iran. Key risks include accelerated royal health decline or Yemen ceasefire breakdowns, with no scheduled events imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 1:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammed bin Salman remains firmly entrenched as Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince, Prime Minister, and de facto leader, with King Salman facing ongoing health issues including recent medical treatments for lung inflammation as of October 2024. No credible reports of internal royal family challenges, coups, or policy reversals have emerged in the past 30 days to threaten his position, solidified by the 2017 anti-corruption campaign, military control, and Vision 2030 economic reforms. Trader sentiment reflects the absolute monarchy's stability, low historical precedent for abrupt leadership changes, and MBS's diplomatic balancing act with the US, China, and regional actors like Iran. Key risks include accelerated royal health decline or Yemen ceasefire breakdowns, with no scheduled events imminent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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