Trader consensus on Strait of Hormuz weekly ship transits clusters tightly around 20-39 vessels, reflecting daily averages of 5-8 amid Iranian restrictions imposed since late February 2026 during heightened regional tensions. IMF Portwatch data shows recent dailies at 3-8 transit calls, with Argus tracking 20 vessels since March 28—including Chinese container ships like CSCL Indian Ocean and select tankers—marking a modest uptick from earlier near-zero levels, though 95% below pre-conflict norms of 100+ daily. Windward reported 8 crossings on March 30 (balanced inbound/outbound). The race stays close as partial-week totals near 20 after three days, hinging on remaining April 2-5 flows; escalation via IRGC actions, fresh attacks, or expanded permissions for allies like China could push toward 45+ or below 20.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)
35-39 30%
20-24 22%
25-29 20%
30-34 18%
新規
$18,314 Vol.
新規
$18,314 Vol.
2026/04/05
<10
1%
10-14
1%
15-19
10%
20-24
22%
25-29
20%
30-34
18%
35-39
30%
40-44
2%
45+
3%
35-39 30%
20-24 22%
25-29 20%
30-34 18%
新規
$18,314 Vol.
新規
$18,314 Vol.
2026/04/05
<10
$2,154 Vol.
1%
10-14
$1,784 Vol.
1%
15-19
$2,024 Vol.
10%
20-24
$1,884 Vol.
22%
25-29
$1,918 Vol.
20%
30-34
$1,902 Vol.
18%
35-39
$2,924 Vol.
30%
40-44
$1,308 Vol.
2%
45+
$2,598 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 30, 2026, through April 5, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Strait of Hormuz weekly ship transits clusters tightly around 20-39 vessels, reflecting daily averages of 5-8 amid Iranian restrictions imposed since late February 2026 during heightened regional tensions. IMF Portwatch data shows recent dailies at 3-8 transit calls, with Argus tracking 20 vessels since March 28—including Chinese container ships like CSCL Indian Ocean and select tankers—marking a modest uptick from earlier near-zero levels, though 95% below pre-conflict norms of 100+ daily. Windward reported 8 crossings on March 30 (balanced inbound/outbound). The race stays close as partial-week totals near 20 after three days, hinging on remaining April 2-5 flows; escalation via IRGC actions, fresh attacks, or expanded permissions for allies like China could push toward 45+ or below 20.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 30, 2026, through April 5, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
音量
$18,314終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 30, 2026, through April 5, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Strait of Hormuz weekly ship transits clusters tightly around 20-39 vessels, reflecting daily averages of 5-8 amid Iranian restrictions imposed since late February 2026 during heightened regional tensions. IMF Portwatch data shows recent dailies at 3-8 transit calls, with Argus tracking 20 vessels since March 28—including Chinese container ships like CSCL Indian Ocean and select tankers—marking a modest uptick from earlier near-zero levels, though 95% below pre-conflict norms of 100+ daily. Windward reported 8 crossings on March 30 (balanced inbound/outbound). The race stays close as partial-week totals near 20 after three days, hinging on remaining April 2-5 flows; escalation via IRGC actions, fresh attacks, or expanded permissions for allies like China could push toward 45+ or below 20.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 30, 2026, through April 5, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
音量
$18,314終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Strait of Hormuz weekly ship transits clusters tightly around 20-39 vessels, reflecting daily averages of 5-8 amid Iranian restrictions imposed since late February 2026 during heightened regional tensions. IMF Portwatch data shows recent dailies at 3-8 transit calls, with Argus tracking 20 vessels since March 28—including Chinese container ships like CSCL Indian Ocean and select tankers—marking a modest uptick from earlier near-zero levels, though 95% below pre-conflict norms of 100+ daily. Windward reported 8 crossings on March 30 (balanced inbound/outbound). The race stays close as partial-week totals near 20 after three days, hinging on remaining April 2-5 flows; escalation via IRGC actions, fresh attacks, or expanded permissions for allies like China could push toward 45+ or below 20.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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