Trader consensus favors the 2.2M-2.4M range at 66% implied probability for April 8 TSA checkpoint screenings, anchored by Monday's official report of 2,207,180 travelers—the lowest in early April—signaling a post-Easter dip after weekend peaks of 2.71M on April 6 and 2.56M on April 5. This positions the bin as the frontrunner, mirroring April 1 Tuesday's 2.36M, while adjacent 2.4M-2.6M (48%) and 2.0M-2.2M (47.5%) reflect volatility from spring break tailwinds and Airlines for America projections near 2.8M daily averages. Lower bins trail amid sustained demand; official April 8 data expected midday April 9 could shift positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日>2.6M 10%
<1.8M <1%
1.8M-2.0M 0
2.0M-2.2M 0
$1,682 Vol.
$1,682 Vol.
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
48%
2.2M-2.4M
65%
2.4M-2.6M
48%
>2.6M
10%
>2.6M 10%
<1.8M <1%
1.8M-2.0M 0
2.0M-2.2M 0
$1,682 Vol.
$1,682 Vol.
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
48%
2.2M-2.4M
65%
2.4M-2.6M
48%
>2.6M
10%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Trader consensus favors the 2.2M-2.4M range at 66% implied probability for April 8 TSA checkpoint screenings, anchored by Monday's official report of 2,207,180 travelers—the lowest in early April—signaling a post-Easter dip after weekend peaks of 2.71M on April 6 and 2.56M on April 5. This positions the bin as the frontrunner, mirroring April 1 Tuesday's 2.36M, while adjacent 2.4M-2.6M (48%) and 2.0M-2.2M (47.5%) reflect volatility from spring break tailwinds and Airlines for America projections near 2.8M daily averages. Lower bins trail amid sustained demand; official April 8 data expected midday April 9 could shift positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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