Spring 2026's volatile weather patterns and lingering post-Easter travel demand have driven daily US flight delays between 3,500 and 5,600 over the past week, anchoring trader consensus tightly around the 4,000-6,500 range at even 40% odds for top bins. April 8 saw roughly 4,000-4,700 delays from FAA-noted thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds impacting hubs like Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Denver, and Seattle, down from Easter weekend peaks exceeding 5,600 amid severe storms. This closely contested market reflects forecast uncertainty for April 10, with potential thunderstorms or air traffic control constraints at major airports able to spike numbers above 6,000, while calmer conditions could pull below 4,000 per real-time FlightAware tracking.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4,000-4,500 41%
4,500-5,000 41%
5,000-5,500 41%
5,500-6,000 41%
新規
新規
2026/04/10
<4,000
40%
4,000-4,500
41%
4,500-5,000
41%
5,000-5,500
41%
5,500-6,000
41%
6,000-6,500
41%
6,500-7,000
29%
>7,000
29%
4,000-4,500 41%
4,500-5,000 41%
5,000-5,500 41%
5,500-6,000 41%
新規
新規
2026/04/10
<4,000
$8,314 Vol.
40%
4,000-4,500
$0 Vol.
41%
4,500-5,000
$0 Vol.
41%
5,000-5,500
$0 Vol.
41%
5,500-6,000
$0 Vol.
41%
6,000-6,500
$23 Vol.
41%
6,500-7,000
$0 Vol.
29%
>7,000
$0 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Spring 2026's volatile weather patterns and lingering post-Easter travel demand have driven daily US flight delays between 3,500 and 5,600 over the past week, anchoring trader consensus tightly around the 4,000-6,500 range at even 40% odds for top bins. April 8 saw roughly 4,000-4,700 delays from FAA-noted thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds impacting hubs like Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Denver, and Seattle, down from Easter weekend peaks exceeding 5,600 amid severe storms. This closely contested market reflects forecast uncertainty for April 10, with potential thunderstorms or air traffic control constraints at major airports able to spike numbers above 6,000, while calmer conditions could pull below 4,000 per real-time FlightAware tracking.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
音量
$8,337終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Spring 2026's volatile weather patterns and lingering post-Easter travel demand have driven daily US flight delays between 3,500 and 5,600 over the past week, anchoring trader consensus tightly around the 4,000-6,500 range at even 40% odds for top bins. April 8 saw roughly 4,000-4,700 delays from FAA-noted thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds impacting hubs like Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Denver, and Seattle, down from Easter weekend peaks exceeding 5,600 amid severe storms. This closely contested market reflects forecast uncertainty for April 10, with potential thunderstorms or air traffic control constraints at major airports able to spike numbers above 6,000, while calmer conditions could pull below 4,000 per real-time FlightAware tracking.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 10, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
音量
$8,337終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 5:55 PM ETSpring 2026's volatile weather patterns and lingering post-Easter travel demand have driven daily US flight delays between 3,500 and 5,600 over the past week, anchoring trader consensus tightly around the 4,000-6,500 range at even 40% odds for top bins. April 8 saw roughly 4,000-4,700 delays from FAA-noted thunderstorms in Florida and gusty winds impacting hubs like Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Denver, and Seattle, down from Easter weekend peaks exceeding 5,600 amid severe storms. This closely contested market reflects forecast uncertainty for April 10, with potential thunderstorms or air traffic control constraints at major airports able to spike numbers above 6,000, while calmer conditions could pull below 4,000 per real-time FlightAware tracking.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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