FlightAware data shows around 4,100 US flights delayed so far on April 9 amid scattered thunderstorms in Florida, gusty winds impacting Northeast hubs like Boston and New York, and low clouds at San Francisco, with top airports including Fort Lauderdale, Miami, and Chicago O'Hare facing 25-45 minute average departure delays. Following Easter weekend peaks exceeding 5,600 delays from storms and high spring break volume, trader consensus tightly clusters in the 4,500-5,500 range at 48.5% and 44.5%, reflecting a moderating trend but vulnerability to afternoon escalation in Southeast weather or sustained East Coast wind shear. Clear skies or reduced evening traffic could pull totals under 4,500, while intensified thunderstorms or air traffic control volume constraints might push toward 5,500+.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3,000-3,500 73%
4,500-5,000 47%
5,000-5,500 45%
5,500-6,000 43%
$222 Vol.
$222 Vol.
<3,000
33%
3,000-3,500
73%
3,500-4,000
39%
4,000-4,500
37%
4,500-5,000
47%
5,000-5,500
45%
5,500-6,000
43%
>6,000
38%
3,000-3,500 73%
4,500-5,000 47%
5,000-5,500 45%
5,500-6,000 43%
$222 Vol.
$222 Vol.
<3,000
33%
3,000-3,500
73%
3,500-4,000
39%
4,000-4,500
37%
4,500-5,000
47%
5,000-5,500
45%
5,500-6,000
43%
>6,000
38%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
FlightAware data shows around 4,100 US flights delayed so far on April 9 amid scattered thunderstorms in Florida, gusty winds impacting Northeast hubs like Boston and New York, and low clouds at San Francisco, with top airports including Fort Lauderdale, Miami, and Chicago O'Hare facing 25-45 minute average departure delays. Following Easter weekend peaks exceeding 5,600 delays from storms and high spring break volume, trader consensus tightly clusters in the 4,500-5,500 range at 48.5% and 44.5%, reflecting a moderating trend but vulnerability to afternoon escalation in Southeast weather or sustained East Coast wind shear. Clear skies or reduced evening traffic could pull totals under 4,500, while intensified thunderstorms or air traffic control volume constraints might push toward 5,500+.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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