Trader consensus heavily favors over 3 million YouTube views for Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" music video in its first week, with 69.5% implied probability, driven by the track's robust streaming metrics—over 300 million Spotify plays—and rising radio airplay (14th on pop radio with 12.2 million audience impressions). Released April 2 as a surprise visualizer homage featuring archival Elizabeth Taylor footage from The Life of a Showgirl album, it debuted with 1.05 million views in 24 hours, adding 480,000 on day two and reaching about 2 million by day four amid steady 400,000+ daily gains. Historical patterns for Swift's recent videos, like "The Fate of Ophelia" exploding to hundreds of millions, underpin expectations of weekend acceleration, though mixed fan reactions to its fancam-style could cap momentum before the April 9 cutoff.