Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty for TSA checkpoint passenger throughput on Easter Sunday, April 5, with all bins from under 2.6 million to over 3.4 million priced evenly at 50%, amid record spring travel projections of 171 million passengers March through April—averaging near 2.8 million daily. Recent screenings show volatility: 2.71 million on April 2, 2.36 million on April 1, and 2.15 million on March 31, driven by spring break peaks like March 29's 2.76 million offset by midweek dips. Easter holiday surges historically push volumes higher, but TSA staffing shortages and potential weather disruptions cap upside, while strong last-minute bookings or clear skies could separate higher bins above 3 million.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日<2.6M 50%
2.6M-2.8M 50%
2.8M-3.0M 50%
3.0M-3.2M 50%
<2.6M
50%
2.6M-2.8M
50%
2.8M-3.0M
50%
3.0M-3.2M
50%
3.2M-3.4M
50%
>3.4M
50%
<2.6M 50%
2.6M-2.8M 50%
2.8M-3.0M 50%
3.0M-3.2M 50%
<2.6M
50%
2.6M-2.8M
50%
2.8M-3.0M
50%
3.0M-3.2M
50%
3.2M-3.4M
50%
>3.4M
50%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty for TSA checkpoint passenger throughput on Easter Sunday, April 5, with all bins from under 2.6 million to over 3.4 million priced evenly at 50%, amid record spring travel projections of 171 million passengers March through April—averaging near 2.8 million daily. Recent screenings show volatility: 2.71 million on April 2, 2.36 million on April 1, and 2.15 million on March 31, driven by spring break peaks like March 29's 2.76 million offset by midweek dips. Easter holiday surges historically push volumes higher, but TSA staffing shortages and potential weather disruptions cap upside, while strong last-minute bookings or clear skies could separate higher bins above 3 million.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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