Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race among 4,500-6,000 flight delays for April 4, driven by midday reports showing around 5,000-5,500 delays nationwide per FlightAware and FAA data, amid ground delays at key hubs including Chicago O'Hare (ORD), San Francisco (SFO), Orlando (MCO), and Miami (MIA). Persistent low clouds in the Northeast from yesterday, Houston thunderstorms prompting waivers, and SFO's FAA-mandated arrival reductions due to runway construction have fueled disruptions without a single overwhelming catalyst. The race stays neck-and-neck as the day progresses, with separation possible from escalating afternoon storms, additional ground stops via the National Airspace System, or clearing weather allowing recovery in evening operations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4,500-5,000 54%
5,000-5,500 54%
5,500-6,000 54%
4,000-4,500 51%
$372 Vol.
$372 Vol.
2026/04/04
<4,000
8%
4,000-4,500
51%
4,500-5,000
54%
5,000-5,500
54%
5,500-6,000
54%
6,000-6,500
51%
6,500-7,000
51%
>7,000
51%
4,500-5,000 54%
5,000-5,500 54%
5,500-6,000 54%
4,000-4,500 51%
$372 Vol.
$372 Vol.
2026/04/04
<4,000
$372 Vol.
8%
4,000-4,500
$0 Vol.
51%
4,500-5,000
$0 Vol.
54%
5,000-5,500
$0 Vol.
54%
5,500-6,000
$0 Vol.
54%
6,000-6,500
$0 Vol.
51%
6,500-7,000
$0 Vol.
51%
>7,000
$0 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race among 4,500-6,000 flight delays for April 4, driven by midday reports showing around 5,000-5,500 delays nationwide per FlightAware and FAA data, amid ground delays at key hubs including Chicago O'Hare (ORD), San Francisco (SFO), Orlando (MCO), and Miami (MIA). Persistent low clouds in the Northeast from yesterday, Houston thunderstorms prompting waivers, and SFO's FAA-mandated arrival reductions due to runway construction have fueled disruptions without a single overwhelming catalyst. The race stays neck-and-neck as the day progresses, with separation possible from escalating afternoon storms, additional ground stops via the National Airspace System, or clearing weather allowing recovery in evening operations.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ET
音量
$372終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race among 4,500-6,000 flight delays for April 4, driven by midday reports showing around 5,000-5,500 delays nationwide per FlightAware and FAA data, amid ground delays at key hubs including Chicago O'Hare (ORD), San Francisco (SFO), Orlando (MCO), and Miami (MIA). Persistent low clouds in the Northeast from yesterday, Houston thunderstorms prompting waivers, and SFO's FAA-mandated arrival reductions due to runway construction have fueled disruptions without a single overwhelming catalyst. The race stays neck-and-neck as the day progresses, with separation possible from escalating afternoon storms, additional ground stops via the National Airspace System, or clearing weather allowing recovery in evening operations.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
音量
$372終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race among 4,500-6,000 flight delays for April 4, driven by midday reports showing around 5,000-5,500 delays nationwide per FlightAware and FAA data, amid ground delays at key hubs including Chicago O'Hare (ORD), San Francisco (SFO), Orlando (MCO), and Miami (MIA). Persistent low clouds in the Northeast from yesterday, Houston thunderstorms prompting waivers, and SFO's FAA-mandated arrival reductions due to runway construction have fueled disruptions without a single overwhelming catalyst. The race stays neck-and-neck as the day progresses, with separation possible from escalating afternoon storms, additional ground stops via the National Airspace System, or clearing weather allowing recovery in evening operations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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