Universal and Illumination's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie enters its third weekend with traders assigning a 91% implied probability to under $44 million domestically, fueled by a steep 48% drop to $68 million last frame from a $131 million opening, signaling softening legs amid mixed critical reception—43% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 37 Metacritic score criticizing thin storytelling despite vibrant visuals and an A- CinemaScore. Cumulative domestic haul stands at $310 million after two weeks, with global surpassing $629 million, but weaker word-of-mouth compared to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's stellar holds tempers optimism. Upsets above $44 million could stem from sustained family turnout over April 17-19, minimal new competition erosion, or positive audience buzz overriding reviews.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スーパーマリオギャラクシームービー」3 rd Weekend Box Office
「スーパーマリオギャラクシームービー」3 rd Weekend Box Office
4,400万未満 91%
44〜48百万 7.2%
4800万〜5200万 1.6%
5,200万ドル超 <1%
新規
$11,642 Vol.
新規
$11,642 Vol.
2026/04/20
4,400万未満
91%
44〜48百万
7%
4800万〜5200万
2%
5,200万ドル超
<1%
4,400万未満 91%
44〜48百万 7.2%
4800万〜5200万 1.6%
5,200万ドル超 <1%
新規
$11,642 Vol.
新規
$11,642 Vol.
2026/04/20
4,400万未満
$2,619 Vol.
91%
44〜48百万
$2,582 Vol.
7%
4800万〜5200万
$4,494 Vol.
2%
5,200万ドル超
$1,947 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Universal and Illumination's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie enters its third weekend with traders assigning a 91% implied probability to under $44 million domestically, fueled by a steep 48% drop to $68 million last frame from a $131 million opening, signaling softening legs amid mixed critical reception—43% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 37 Metacritic score criticizing thin storytelling despite vibrant visuals and an A- CinemaScore. Cumulative domestic haul stands at $310 million after two weeks, with global surpassing $629 million, but weaker word-of-mouth compared to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's stellar holds tempers optimism. Upsets above $44 million could stem from sustained family turnout over April 17-19, minimal new competition erosion, or positive audience buzz overriding reviews.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
音量
$11,642終了日
2026/04/20マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Universal and Illumination's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie enters its third weekend with traders assigning a 91% implied probability to under $44 million domestically, fueled by a steep 48% drop to $68 million last frame from a $131 million opening, signaling softening legs amid mixed critical reception—43% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 37 Metacritic score criticizing thin storytelling despite vibrant visuals and an A- CinemaScore. Cumulative domestic haul stands at $310 million after two weeks, with global surpassing $629 million, but weaker word-of-mouth compared to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's stellar holds tempers optimism. Upsets above $44 million could stem from sustained family turnout over April 17-19, minimal new competition erosion, or positive audience buzz overriding reviews.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$11,642終了日
2026/04/20マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Universal and Illumination's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie enters its third weekend with traders assigning a 91% implied probability to under $44 million domestically, fueled by a steep 48% drop to $68 million last frame from a $131 million opening, signaling softening legs amid mixed critical reception—43% on Rotten Tomatoes and a 37 Metacritic score criticizing thin storytelling despite vibrant visuals and an A- CinemaScore. Cumulative domestic haul stands at $310 million after two weeks, with global surpassing $629 million, but weaker word-of-mouth compared to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's stellar holds tempers optimism. Upsets above $44 million could stem from sustained family turnout over April 17-19, minimal new competition erosion, or positive audience buzz overriding reviews.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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