Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third-weekend performance sits in a tight range as traders weigh a projected 55-60% drop from its $145 million second weekend. Recent tracking from industry forecasters places the film between $57 million and $72 million, reflecting typical post-opening decay for event-level superhero releases despite its record $360 million debut and rapid path past $700 million domestically. Strong audience retention and minimal competition help support the upper bins, while broader summer marketplace softness and franchise legs patterns push probability toward sub-$66 million outcomes. The evenly matched markets around 66-72 million highlight uncertainty in exact drop magnitude ahead of the August 15-17 frame, where daily updates and final Thursday estimates will serve as key swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」第3週末興行収入（ローワーストライク）
「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」第3週末興行収入（ローワーストライク）
<66m 47%
66-68m 43%
68-70m 43%
7200万ドル以上 43%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
<66m
47%
66-68m
43%
68-70m
43%
70-72m
42%
7200万ドル以上
43%
<66m 47%
66-68m 43%
68-70m 43%
7200万ドル以上 43%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
<66m
$0 Vol.
47%
66-68m
$0 Vol.
43%
68-70m
$0 Vol.
43%
70-72m
$0 Vol.
42%
7200万ドル以上
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third-weekend performance sits in a tight range as traders weigh a projected 55-60% drop from its $145 million second weekend. Recent tracking from industry forecasters places the film between $57 million and $72 million, reflecting typical post-opening decay for event-level superhero releases despite its record $360 million debut and rapid path past $700 million domestically. Strong audience retention and minimal competition help support the upper bins, while broader summer marketplace softness and franchise legs patterns push probability toward sub-$66 million outcomes. The evenly matched markets around 66-72 million highlight uncertainty in exact drop magnitude ahead of the August 15-17 frame, where daily updates and final Thursday estimates will serve as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third-weekend performance sits in a tight range as traders weigh a projected 55-60% drop from its $145 million second weekend. Recent tracking from industry forecasters places the film between $57 million and $72 million, reflecting typical post-opening decay for event-level superhero releases despite its record $360 million debut and rapid path past $700 million domestically. Strong audience retention and minimal competition help support the upper bins, while broader summer marketplace softness and franchise legs patterns push probability toward sub-$66 million outcomes. The evenly matched markets around 66-72 million highlight uncertainty in exact drop magnitude ahead of the August 15-17 frame, where daily updates and final Thursday estimates will serve as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third-weekend performance sits in a tight range as traders weigh a projected 55-60% drop from its $145 million second weekend. Recent tracking from industry forecasters places the film between $57 million and $72 million, reflecting typical post-opening decay for event-level superhero releases despite its record $360 million debut and rapid path past $700 million domestically. Strong audience retention and minimal competition help support the upper bins, while broader summer marketplace softness and franchise legs patterns push probability toward sub-$66 million outcomes. The evenly matched markets around 66-72 million highlight uncertainty in exact drop magnitude ahead of the August 15-17 frame, where daily updates and final Thursday estimates will serve as key swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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