The Uprising, Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama starring Andrew Garfield as the leader of the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, opens this weekend with trader consensus heavily favoring a sub-$4.5 million domestic debut. Limited pre-release tracking, modest marketing visibility, and a crowded mid-September corridor have tempered expectations for the Blumhouse-backed Focus Features release, despite Garfield’s name recognition and the film’s Robin Hood-adjacent marketing angle. Period pieces and ensemble-driven narratives in this slot have historically struggled without strong critical or audience buzz, and early indicators point to restrained presales. The market’s pricing reflects these competitive dynamics, with any upside hinging on opening-day walk-up or word-of-mouth that could push it into the 4.5–5.5 million range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「ザ・アップライジング」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
「ザ・アップライジング」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
450万ドル未満 60%
4.5-5.5百万ドル 23%
5.5万～6.5万ドル 14%
750万ドル以上 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
450万ドル未満
60%
4.5-5.5百万ドル
23%
5.5万～6.5万ドル
14%
6.5-7.5百万ドル
9%
750万ドル以上
14%
450万ドル未満 60%
4.5-5.5百万ドル 23%
5.5万～6.5万ドル 14%
750万ドル以上 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
450万ドル未満
$0 Vol.
60%
4.5-5.5百万ドル
$0 Vol.
23%
5.5万～6.5万ドル
$0 Vol.
14%
6.5-7.5百万ドル
$0 Vol.
9%
750万ドル以上
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Uprising, Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama starring Andrew Garfield as the leader of the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, opens this weekend with trader consensus heavily favoring a sub-$4.5 million domestic debut. Limited pre-release tracking, modest marketing visibility, and a crowded mid-September corridor have tempered expectations for the Blumhouse-backed Focus Features release, despite Garfield’s name recognition and the film’s Robin Hood-adjacent marketing angle. Period pieces and ensemble-driven narratives in this slot have historically struggled without strong critical or audience buzz, and early indicators point to restrained presales. The market’s pricing reflects these competitive dynamics, with any upside hinging on opening-day walk-up or word-of-mouth that could push it into the 4.5–5.5 million range.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Uprising, Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama starring Andrew Garfield as the leader of the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, opens this weekend with trader consensus heavily favoring a sub-$4.5 million domestic debut. Limited pre-release tracking, modest marketing visibility, and a crowded mid-September corridor have tempered expectations for the Blumhouse-backed Focus Features release, despite Garfield’s name recognition and the film’s Robin Hood-adjacent marketing angle. Period pieces and ensemble-driven narratives in this slot have historically struggled without strong critical or audience buzz, and early indicators point to restrained presales. The market’s pricing reflects these competitive dynamics, with any upside hinging on opening-day walk-up or word-of-mouth that could push it into the 4.5–5.5 million range.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Uprising, Paul Greengrass’s R-rated historical drama starring Andrew Garfield as the leader of the 1381 Peasants’ Revolt, opens this weekend with trader consensus heavily favoring a sub-$4.5 million domestic debut. Limited pre-release tracking, modest marketing visibility, and a crowded mid-September corridor have tempered expectations for the Blumhouse-backed Focus Features release, despite Garfield’s name recognition and the film’s Robin Hood-adjacent marketing angle. Period pieces and ensemble-driven narratives in this slot have historically struggled without strong critical or audience buzz, and early indicators point to restrained presales. The market’s pricing reflects these competitive dynamics, with any upside hinging on opening-day walk-up or word-of-mouth that could push it into the 4.5–5.5 million range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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