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icon for TX -33民主党予備選
政治·プライマリ

TX -33民主党予備選

icon for TX -33民主党予備選
政治·プライマリ

TX -33民主党予備選

コリン・オールレッド 76%

ジュリー・ジョンソン 25%

カルロス・キンタニージャ <1%

ジーシャン・ハフィーズ <1%

Polymarket

$68,381 Vol.

コリン・オールレッド 76%

ジュリー・ジョンソン 25%

カルロス・キンタニージャ <1%

ジーシャン・ハフィーズ <1%

Polymarket

$68,381 Vol.

コリン・オールレッド

$31,087 Vol.

76%

ジュリー・ジョンソン

$28,770 Vol.

25%

カルロス・キンタニージャ

$3,655 Vol.

<1%

ジーシャン・ハフィーズ

$4,869 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred's commanding 45.5% to 34% victory over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson in the March 3 Texas 33rd Congressional District Democratic primary has solidified trader consensus favoring him at 75.5% implied probability for the May 26 runoff, reflecting his name recognition from the prior Senate bid and momentum in the newly redrawn Dallas County district. Allred's first-quarter 2026 fundraising edge—$1 million raised and $679,000 cash on hand versus Johnson's $759,000 raised and $487,000 on hand—bolsters his position amid institutional backing for Johnson. Eliminated candidates Carlos Quintanilla (12.1%) and Zeeshan Hafeez (8.4%) hold negligible odds, as the contest hinges on runoff turnout in this solidly Democratic seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$68,381
終了日
2026/05/26
マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred's commanding 45.5% to 34% victory over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson in the March 3 Texas 33rd Congressional District Democratic primary has solidified trader consensus favoring him at 75.5% implied probability for the May 26 runoff, reflecting his name recognition from the prior Senate bid and momentum in the newly redrawn Dallas County district. Allred's first-quarter 2026 fundraising edge—$1 million raised and $679,000 cash on hand versus Johnson's $759,000 raised and $487,000 on hand—bolsters his position amid institutional backing for Johnson. Eliminated candidates Carlos Quintanilla (12.1%) and Zeeshan Hafeez (8.4%) hold negligible odds, as the contest hinges on runoff turnout in this solidly Democratic seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$68,381
終了日
2026/05/26
マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「TX -33民主党予備選」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「コリン・オールレッド」で76%、次いで「ジュリー・ジョンソン」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、76¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に76%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「TX -33民主党予備選」は$68.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 4, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「TX -33民主党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「TX -33民主党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「コリン・オールレッド」で76%であり、市場がこの結果に76%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジュリー・ジョンソン」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「TX -33民主党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。