Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads Polymarket trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his fundraising dominance, name recognition from prior service as Salt Lake County mayor and state senator, and Kathleen Riebe's April 11 dropout endorsement criticizing rival Nate Blouin as "volatile." Blouin's 22% reflects progressive backing and a March poll showing him at 23-40%, but mid-April resurfaced social media posts mocking Latter-day Saints and joking about sensitive topics prompted apologies and calls for him to withdraw. Liban Mohamed's April 26 convention endorsement upset via ranked-choice voting (after McAdams' 40% first ballot) highlights activist energy, yet traders favor McAdams' moderate appeal in the plurality primary for the court-redrawn blue district, with others trailing due to lower profiles and resources.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ベン・マカダムズ 70%
Nate Blouin 22%
ルス・エスカミーリャ <1%
エリン・メンデンホール <1%
$26,072 Vol.
$26,072 Vol.
ベン・マカダムズ
70%
Nate Blouin
22%
ルス・エスカミーリャ
1%
エリン・メンデンホール
<1%
ブライアン・キング
<1%
キャスリーン・リーベ
<1%
キャロライン・グライヒ
<1%
ケール・ウェストン
<1%
ジェニー・ウィルソン
<1%
ベン・マカダムズ 70%
Nate Blouin 22%
ルス・エスカミーリャ <1%
エリン・メンデンホール <1%
$26,072 Vol.
$26,072 Vol.
ベン・マカダムズ
70%
Nate Blouin
22%
ルス・エスカミーリャ
1%
エリン・メンデンホール
<1%
ブライアン・キング
<1%
キャスリーン・リーベ
<1%
キャロライン・グライヒ
<1%
ケール・ウェストン
<1%
ジェニー・ウィルソン
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads Polymarket trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his fundraising dominance, name recognition from prior service as Salt Lake County mayor and state senator, and Kathleen Riebe's April 11 dropout endorsement criticizing rival Nate Blouin as "volatile." Blouin's 22% reflects progressive backing and a March poll showing him at 23-40%, but mid-April resurfaced social media posts mocking Latter-day Saints and joking about sensitive topics prompted apologies and calls for him to withdraw. Liban Mohamed's April 26 convention endorsement upset via ranked-choice voting (after McAdams' 40% first ballot) highlights activist energy, yet traders favor McAdams' moderate appeal in the plurality primary for the court-redrawn blue district, with others trailing due to lower profiles and resources.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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