JD Vance's upcoming remarks at a Macomb County campaign event in swing-state Michigan on March 18 are driving trader bets on his phrasing around economic protectionism and criticism of Democratic immigration policies, mirroring his consistent Senate and campaign rhetoric. Recent Michigan polls show a narrowing Trump lead, prompting intensified GOP focus on auto industry jobs and border security to mobilize working-class voters. No advance text released, leaving odds as trader consensus on verbatim matches from past speeches. Live delivery risks ad-libs; post-event analysis and April primaries could recalibrate probabilities amid volatile battleground dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$630 Vol.
Biden 6+ times
71%
Trump 5+ times
83%
Inflation 3+ times
58%
Manufacturing 2+ times
55%
Border 2+ times
65%
Trillion
59%
Big Beautiful Bill
65%
Crazy
77%
Iran
58%
Ass
23%
Hormuz
33%
Transgender / Radical Left
28%
Fake News
38%
Autism / Autistic
32%
Epic Fury
23%
Nuclear
56%
Crypto / Bitcoin
11%
American Dream
80%
-No Qualifying Event-
16%
$630 Vol.
Biden 6+ times
71%
Trump 5+ times
83%
Inflation 3+ times
58%
Manufacturing 2+ times
55%
Border 2+ times
65%
Trillion
59%
Big Beautiful Bill
65%
Crazy
77%
Iran
58%
Ass
23%
Hormuz
33%
Transgender / Radical Left
28%
Fake News
38%
Autism / Autistic
32%
Epic Fury
23%
Nuclear
56%
Crypto / Bitcoin
11%
American Dream
80%
-No Qualifying Event-
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the Michigan visit scheduled for March 18, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about JD Vance's Michigan visit scheduled for March 18, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 17, 2026, 9:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...JD Vance's upcoming remarks at a Macomb County campaign event in swing-state Michigan on March 18 are driving trader bets on his phrasing around economic protectionism and criticism of Democratic immigration policies, mirroring his consistent Senate and campaign rhetoric. Recent Michigan polls show a narrowing Trump lead, prompting intensified GOP focus on auto industry jobs and border security to mobilize working-class voters. No advance text released, leaving odds as trader consensus on verbatim matches from past speeches. Live delivery risks ad-libs; post-event analysis and April primaries could recalibrate probabilities amid volatile battleground dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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