Pre-released clips from President Trump's prerecorded Fox Business interview with Maria Bartiromo, taped April 14 and airing April 15 at 6 a.m. ET on Mornings with Maria, show him declaring the six-week US-Iran conflict "very close to over" as ceasefire talks progress, driving trader consensus toward high implied probabilities on related terms like "blockade" (85%) and "mine" (64%) amid recent Strait of Hormuz restrictions and US oil export surges. Economic phrases such as "tax/tariff" (73%) and "inflation" (71%) lead due to the federal tax filing deadline and Bartiromo's business focus, while "Biden" (71%) and "Democrat" (82%) reflect Trump's consistent rhetorical patterns criticizing opponents. Full broadcast will resolve markets, with no major shifts in the past 24 hours beyond clip teases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$65,226 Vol.
Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times
59%
Tax / Tariff 5+ times
73%
Biden
71%
Democrat
82%
Gay
5%
Midterm
51%
Dow / S&P
65%
Drug
35%
Fake news
59%
Leo / Pope
36%
Stupid
66%
Paper tiger
44%
Boat
55%
Hottest
55%
Russia
62%
Inflation
72%
Too Late / Fed
61%
King
33%
MAGA / Make America Great Again
55%
Blockade
86%
Underwater
49%
Mine
64%
JD / Vance
63%
Greatest Military
75%
Patriot
41%
Bottom of the Sea
53%
-No Qualifying Event-
1%
$65,226 Vol.
Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times
59%
Tax / Tariff 5+ times
73%
Biden
71%
Democrat
82%
Gay
5%
Midterm
51%
Dow / S&P
65%
Drug
35%
Fake news
59%
Leo / Pope
36%
Stupid
66%
Paper tiger
44%
Boat
55%
Hottest
55%
Russia
62%
Inflation
72%
Too Late / Fed
61%
King
33%
MAGA / Make America Great Again
55%
Blockade
86%
Underwater
49%
Mine
64%
JD / Vance
63%
Greatest Military
75%
Patriot
41%
Bottom of the Sea
53%
-No Qualifying Event-
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Fox Business interview scheduled for April 15, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the Fox Business interview scheduled for April 15, 2026. (See: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wmwVQMWTqD0&start=2027). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Fox Business interview scheduled for April 15, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the Fox Business interview scheduled for April 15, 2026. (See: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wmwVQMWTqD0&start=2027). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Pre-released clips from President Trump's prerecorded Fox Business interview with Maria Bartiromo, taped April 14 and airing April 15 at 6 a.m. ET on Mornings with Maria, show him declaring the six-week US-Iran conflict "very close to over" as ceasefire talks progress, driving trader consensus toward high implied probabilities on related terms like "blockade" (85%) and "mine" (64%) amid recent Strait of Hormuz restrictions and US oil export surges. Economic phrases such as "tax/tariff" (73%) and "inflation" (71%) lead due to the federal tax filing deadline and Bartiromo's business focus, while "Biden" (71%) and "Democrat" (82%) reflect Trump's consistent rhetorical patterns criticizing opponents. Full broadcast will resolve markets, with no major shifts in the past 24 hours beyond clip teases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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