Market icon
政治·メンション

Who will Trump name in April?

Market icon
政治·メンション

Who will Trump name in April?

新規
2026/04/30
Polymarket

$773 Vol.

Polymarket

Netanyahu

$144 Vol.

97%

Newsom / Newscum

$53 Vol.

88%

Delcy

$36 Vol.

72%

Caine

$7 Vol.

71%

Khamenei / Khomeini

$120 Vol.

83%

Maduro

$5 Vol.

66%

Keir / Starmer

$38 Vol.

80%

Emmanuel / Macron

$3 Vol.

78%

Kushner

$36 Vol.

77%

Kamala

$13 Vol.

77%

Homan

$60 Vol.

73%

Warsh

$3 Vol.

68%

Gianni / Infantino

$102 Vol.

68%

Oz

$0 Vol.

67%

Ilhan / Omar

$6 Vol.

75%

Schumer

$0 Vol.

59%

Castro

$0 Vol.

54%

Rand Paul

$0 Vol.

54%

Massie

$0 Vol.

54%

Leavitt

$0 Vol.

53%

Elon / Musk

$0 Vol.

53%

Leo XIV / Pope

$0 Vol.

52%

Friedrich / Merz

$0 Vol.

51%

Zohran / Mamdani

$45 Vol.

63%

Warren / Pocahontas

$88 Vol.

51%

Bush

$0 Vol.

50%

Bernie

$0 Vol.

47%

Machado

$0 Vol.

46%

Hillary

$0 Vol.

45%

Paxton

$0 Vol.

44%

Kavanaugh

$0 Vol.

43%

Talarico

$0 Vol.

42%

Nicki / Minaj

$0 Vol.

42%

Jensen / Huang

$0 Vol.

38%

Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

34%

Zuckerberg

$7 Vol.

39%

Viktor / Orbán

$6 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's verbal mentions of political figures in public speeches, press briefings, and recorded events drive this multi-outcome prediction market, which resolves based on audio/video confirmation of specific names from April 1 to 30, 2026. Trader consensus favors frequent rhetorical targets like adversaries (e.g., Democratic leaders, foreign heads of state) given his patterns in addressing immigration, foreign policy, and domestic criticism. Recent catalysts include the March 23 Senate confirmation of Markwayne Mullin as DHS secretary amid border security debates, and a March 31 executive order signing. Key upcoming events—Easter remarks today (April 1), a tariff announcement April 2, and Truth Social activity starting April 3—could prompt name-drops, with Senate pro-forma sessions blocking recess appointments adding procedural tension.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
音量
$773
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's verbal mentions of political figures in public speeches, press briefings, and recorded events drive this multi-outcome prediction market, which resolves based on audio/video confirmation of specific names from April 1 to 30, 2026. Trader consensus favors frequent rhetorical targets like adversaries (e.g., Democratic leaders, foreign heads of state) given his patterns in addressing immigration, foreign policy, and domestic criticism. Recent catalysts include the March 23 Senate confirmation of Markwayne Mullin as DHS secretary amid border security debates, and a March 31 executive order signing. Key upcoming events—Easter remarks today (April 1), a tariff announcement April 2, and Truth Social activity starting April 3—could prompt name-drops, with Senate pro-forma sessions blocking recess appointments adding procedural tension.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
音量
$773
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Who will Trump name in April?」はPolymarket上の37個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Netanyahu」で97%、次いで「Newsom / Newscum」が88%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、97¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に97%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Who will Trump name in April?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 30, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Who will Trump name in April?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている37個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Who will Trump name in April?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Netanyahu」で97%であり、市場がこの結果に97%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Newsom / Newscum」で88%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Who will Trump name in April?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。