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政治·メンション

Who will Trump name in April?

icon for Who will Trump name in April?
政治·メンション

Who will Trump name in April?

$131,380 Vol.

2026/04/30
Polymarket

$131,380 Vol.

Polymarket

Hillary

$4,541 Vol.

Yes

Kamala

$4,386 Vol.

Yes

Paxton

$3,851 Vol.

No

Warsh

$1,621 Vol.

Yes

Newsom / Newscum

$1,266 Vol.

Yes

Rand Paul

$1,442 Vol.

No

Ilhan / Omar

$1,142 Vol.

Yes

Zohran / Mamdani

$2,111 Vol.

No

Zuckerberg

$615 Vol.

Yes

Nicki / Minaj

$1,481 Vol.

No

Homan

$3,354 Vol.

No

Bush

$1,288 Vol.

Yes

Caine

$2,432 Vol.

Yes

Delcy

$1,113 Vol.

No

Warren / Pocahontas

$1,405 Vol.

Yes

Emmanuel / Macron

$641 Vol.

Yes

Bolsonaro

$3,030 Vol.

No

Bernie

$2,499 Vol.

No

Oz

$977 Vol.

Yes

Talarico

$3,950 Vol.

No

Schumer

$807 Vol.

Yes

Massie

$5,948 Vol.

No

Kavanaugh

$771 Vol.

No

Leavitt

$2,371 Vol.

No

Jensen / Huang

$603 Vol.

Yes

Gianni / Infantino

$3,916 Vol.

Yes

Khamenei / Khomeini

$883 Vol.

Yes

Maduro

$3,099 Vol.

Yes

Viktor / Orbán

$794 Vol.

Yes

Machado

$896 Vol.

No

Kushner

$3,046 Vol.

Yes

Netanyahu

$5,683 Vol.

Yes

Keir / Starmer

$3,794 Vol.

Yes

Elon / Musk

$1,152 Vol.

No

Leo XIV / Pope

$50,825 Vol.

Yes

Friedrich / Merz

$2,410 Vol.

No

Castro

$1,237 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Recent resignations in the Trump cabinet—Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer on April 20 amid misconduct probes and Navy Secretary John Phelan on April 22—have intensified focus on potential verbal announcements of replacements like Tom Homan or Karoline Leavitt before the April 30 deadline. Trump's April 17 speech sharply criticizing Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Rand Paul over legislative opposition highlighted GOP fractures, boosting speculation on domestic political mentions. International friction, including FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April 14 ICE raid request and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz's rebukes of U.S. Iran policy, drew eyes to foreign figures. Absent qualifying verbal references at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner or April 27 King Charles III meeting, final press events remain key catalysts for market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
音量
$131,380
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Recent resignations in the Trump cabinet—Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer on April 20 amid misconduct probes and Navy Secretary John Phelan on April 22—have intensified focus on potential verbal announcements of replacements like Tom Homan or Karoline Leavitt before the April 30 deadline. Trump's April 17 speech sharply criticizing Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Rand Paul over legislative opposition highlighted GOP fractures, boosting speculation on domestic political mentions. International friction, including FIFA President Gianni Infantino's April 14 ICE raid request and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz's rebukes of U.S. Iran policy, drew eyes to foreign figures. Absent qualifying verbal references at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner or April 27 King Charles III meeting, final press events remain key catalysts for market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
音量
$131,380
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

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よくある質問

「Who will Trump name in April?」はPolymarket上の37個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Hillary」で100%、次いで「Kamala」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Who will Trump name in April?」は$131.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Who will Trump name in April?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている37個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Who will Trump name in April?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Hillary」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Kamala」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Who will Trump name in April?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。