President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity, dominated by profane ultimatums against Iran—including Easter Sunday threats to "open the Fuckin' Strait" or face hellish consequences and warnings of a civilization's destruction—has shaped trader expectations for his posting patterns during April 13-19. Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire, Vice President JD Vance's departure for peace talks in Pakistan underscores ongoing diplomatic pressures following U.S. military posturing and Trump's boasts of future "conquests." With no major scheduled events like summits or court dates in the resolution window, traders focus on potential escalations in Iran Strait tensions, tariffs litigation, or ad hoc foreign policy announcements, consistent with his high-volume, combative style on national security and executive actions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/04/19
Ass / Shit
19%
Stupid
61%
Sleepy Joe
57%
New York Times
66%
AG / Attorney General
58%
Charlie / Kirk
51%
Hezbollah
54%
God Bless America
30%
UFC
30%
Free Tina Peters
49%
POTUS
28%
Military Operation
65%
Ballroom
64%
Panican
28%
Save America Act / Save Act
54%
Epic Fury
67%
Crypto / Bitcoin
51%
Harvard
53%
FBI
68%
Lisa
52%
Viktor / Orban / Orbán
68%
China / Xi
75%
Democrat Shutdown
51%
TSA / DHS
52%
Endorsed / Endorsement
53%
Poll / Polling
58%
Spain
29%
Banned
29%
Epstein
51%
Hoax
52%
$3 Vol.
Ass / Shit
$0 Vol.
19%
Stupid
$0 Vol.
61%
Sleepy Joe
$0 Vol.
57%
New York Times
$0 Vol.
66%
AG / Attorney General
$0 Vol.
58%
Charlie / Kirk
$0 Vol.
51%
Hezbollah
$0 Vol.
54%
God Bless America
$0 Vol.
30%
UFC
$0 Vol.
30%
Free Tina Peters
$0 Vol.
49%
POTUS
$0 Vol.
28%
Military Operation
$0 Vol.
65%
Ballroom
$0 Vol.
64%
Panican
$0 Vol.
28%
Save America Act / Save Act
$0 Vol.
54%
Epic Fury
$0 Vol.
67%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$0 Vol.
51%
Harvard
$0 Vol.
53%
FBI
$0 Vol.
68%
Lisa
$0 Vol.
52%
Viktor / Orban / Orbán
$0 Vol.
68%
China / Xi
$3 Vol.
75%
Democrat Shutdown
$0 Vol.
51%
TSA / DHS
$0 Vol.
52%
Endorsed / Endorsement
$0 Vol.
53%
Poll / Polling
$0 Vol.
58%
Spain
$0 Vol.
29%
Banned
$0 Vol.
29%
Epstein
$0 Vol.
51%
Hoax
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity, dominated by profane ultimatums against Iran—including Easter Sunday threats to "open the Fuckin' Strait" or face hellish consequences and warnings of a civilization's destruction—has shaped trader expectations for his posting patterns during April 13-19. Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire, Vice President JD Vance's departure for peace talks in Pakistan underscores ongoing diplomatic pressures following U.S. military posturing and Trump's boasts of future "conquests." With no major scheduled events like summits or court dates in the resolution window, traders focus on potential escalations in Iran Strait tensions, tariffs litigation, or ad hoc foreign policy announcements, consistent with his high-volume, combative style on national security and executive actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 10, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
音量
$3終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity, dominated by profane ultimatums against Iran—including Easter Sunday threats to "open the Fuckin' Strait" or face hellish consequences and warnings of a civilization's destruction—has shaped trader expectations for his posting patterns during April 13-19. Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire, Vice President JD Vance's departure for peace talks in Pakistan underscores ongoing diplomatic pressures following U.S. military posturing and Trump's boasts of future "conquests." With no major scheduled events like summits or court dates in the resolution window, traders focus on potential escalations in Iran Strait tensions, tariffs litigation, or ad hoc foreign policy announcements, consistent with his high-volume, combative style on national security and executive actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
音量
$3終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity, dominated by profane ultimatums against Iran—including Easter Sunday threats to "open the Fuckin' Strait" or face hellish consequences and warnings of a civilization's destruction—has shaped trader expectations for his posting patterns during April 13-19. Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire, Vice President JD Vance's departure for peace talks in Pakistan underscores ongoing diplomatic pressures following U.S. military posturing and Trump's boasts of future "conquests." With no major scheduled events like summits or court dates in the resolution window, traders focus on potential escalations in Iran Strait tensions, tariffs litigation, or ad hoc foreign policy announcements, consistent with his high-volume, combative style on national security and executive actions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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