**U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation, transferring them to pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn.** They face superseding federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation, with potential penalties reaching life imprisonment if convicted. Maduro has pleaded not guilty and pursued motions to dismiss on grounds such as diplomatic immunity and the circumstances of his seizure. As of mid-June 2026, the case remains in pretrial proceedings with no trial date set and a lengthy timeline expected. This uncertainty supports the leading “no prison time” outcome at 35 percent, reflecting trader assessments of possible acquittal, case dismissal, or a favorable plea arrangement amid complex jurisdictional and evidentiary issues. The 24.5 percent price on 60+ years aligns with the severity of the charges if prosecutors secure a conviction at trial.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日刑務所に入らない 35%
60年以上 25%
20年未満 11.0%
20～40 10.5%
$567,066 Vol.
$567,066 Vol.
2027/12/31
刑務所に入らない
35%
20年未満
11%
20～40
11%
40～60
6%
60年以上
25%
刑務所に入らない 35%
60年以上 25%
20年未満 11.0%
20～40 10.5%
$567,066 Vol.
$567,066 Vol.
2027/12/31
刑務所に入らない
$382,563 Vol.
35%
20年未満
$76,691 Vol.
11%
20～40
$50,339 Vol.
11%
40～60
$20,195 Vol.
6%
60年以上
$37,279 Vol.
25%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation, transferring them to pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn.** They face superseding federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation, with potential penalties reaching life imprisonment if convicted. Maduro has pleaded not guilty and pursued motions to dismiss on grounds such as diplomatic immunity and the circumstances of his seizure.
As of mid-June 2026, the case remains in pretrial proceedings with no trial date set and a lengthy timeline expected. This uncertainty supports the leading “no prison time” outcome at 35 percent, reflecting trader assessments of possible acquittal, case dismissal, or a favorable plea arrangement amid complex jurisdictional and evidentiary issues. The 24.5 percent price on 60+ years aligns with the severity of the charges if prosecutors secure a conviction at trial.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
音量
$567,066終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation, transferring them to pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn.** They face superseding federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation, with potential penalties reaching life imprisonment if convicted. Maduro has pleaded not guilty and pursued motions to dismiss on grounds such as diplomatic immunity and the circumstances of his seizure.
As of mid-June 2026, the case remains in pretrial proceedings with no trial date set and a lengthy timeline expected. This uncertainty supports the leading “no prison time” outcome at 35 percent, reflecting trader assessments of possible acquittal, case dismissal, or a favorable plea arrangement amid complex jurisdictional and evidentiary issues. The 24.5 percent price on 60+ years aligns with the severity of the charges if prosecutors secure a conviction at trial.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$567,066終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation, transferring them to pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn.** They face superseding federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation, with potential penalties reaching life imprisonment if convicted. Maduro has pleaded not guilty and pursued motions to dismiss on grounds such as diplomatic immunity and the circumstances of his seizure. As of mid-June 2026, the case remains in pretrial proceedings with no trial date set and a lengthy timeline expected. This uncertainty supports the leading “no prison time” outcome at 35 percent, reflecting trader assessments of possible acquittal, case dismissal, or a favorable plea arrangement amid complex jurisdictional and evidentiary issues. The 24.5 percent price on 60+ years aligns with the severity of the charges if prosecutors secure a conviction at trial.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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