Strong supply-chain confirmation from leakers like Instant Digital, paired with consistent reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, has kept the market near 50/50. Multiple sources describe a redesigned high-end MacBook Pro or “Ultra” model featuring an OLED touchscreen, Dynamic Island-style interface, and M5 Pro/Max silicon slated for late 2026 or early 2027. Samsung’s OLED panel production ramp and macOS updates adding touch-optimized elements support the timeline, yet Apple has not made an official announcement and past hardware transitions have slipped. A September–October event or clear mass-production milestone could push “Yes” above 70 percent, while any confirmed delay into 2027 would quickly favor “No.”
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$38,190 Vol.
$38,190 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$38,190 Vol.
$38,190 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong supply-chain confirmation from leakers like Instant Digital, paired with consistent reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, has kept the market near 50/50. Multiple sources describe a redesigned high-end MacBook Pro or “Ultra” model featuring an OLED touchscreen, Dynamic Island-style interface, and M5 Pro/Max silicon slated for late 2026 or early 2027. Samsung’s OLED panel production ramp and macOS updates adding touch-optimized elements support the timeline, yet Apple has not made an official announcement and past hardware transitions have slipped. A September–October event or clear mass-production milestone could push “Yes” above 70 percent, while any confirmed delay into 2027 would quickly favor “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
音量
$38,190終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong supply-chain confirmation from leakers like Instant Digital, paired with consistent reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, has kept the market near 50/50. Multiple sources describe a redesigned high-end MacBook Pro or “Ultra” model featuring an OLED touchscreen, Dynamic Island-style interface, and M5 Pro/Max silicon slated for late 2026 or early 2027. Samsung’s OLED panel production ramp and macOS updates adding touch-optimized elements support the timeline, yet Apple has not made an official announcement and past hardware transitions have slipped. A September–October event or clear mass-production milestone could push “Yes” above 70 percent, while any confirmed delay into 2027 would quickly favor “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$38,190終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong supply-chain confirmation from leakers like Instant Digital, paired with consistent reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, has kept the market near 50/50. Multiple sources describe a redesigned high-end MacBook Pro or “Ultra” model featuring an OLED touchscreen, Dynamic Island-style interface, and M5 Pro/Max silicon slated for late 2026 or early 2027. Samsung’s OLED panel production ramp and macOS updates adding touch-optimized elements support the timeline, yet Apple has not made an official announcement and past hardware transitions have slipped. A September–October event or clear mass-production milestone could push “Yes” above 70 percent, while any confirmed delay into 2027 would quickly favor “No.”
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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