Recent reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo confirm Apple is advancing a redesigned high-end MacBook with OLED touchscreen support, Dynamic Island, and M5 Pro/Max chips for a potential late-2026 launch, reversing years of resistance to touch input. Internal testing with macOS 27.1 and supply-chain signals reinforce the timeline, driving trader consensus around the 64.5% implied probability for a 2026 release. Key catalysts include an expected October announcement window and further leaks on production readiness, though any delays in final validation or positioning as a premium “Ultra” model above existing Pro lines could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
65% 確率
$72,023 Vol.
$72,023 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
65% 確率
$72,023 Vol.
$72,023 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo confirm Apple is advancing a redesigned high-end MacBook with OLED touchscreen support, Dynamic Island, and M5 Pro/Max chips for a potential late-2026 launch, reversing years of resistance to touch input. Internal testing with macOS 27.1 and supply-chain signals reinforce the timeline, driving trader consensus around the 64.5% implied probability for a 2026 release. Key catalysts include an expected October announcement window and further leaks on production readiness, though any delays in final validation or positioning as a premium “Ultra” model above existing Pro lines could still shift outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
音量
$72,023終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo confirm Apple is advancing a redesigned high-end MacBook with OLED touchscreen support, Dynamic Island, and M5 Pro/Max chips for a potential late-2026 launch, reversing years of resistance to touch input. Internal testing with macOS 27.1 and supply-chain signals reinforce the timeline, driving trader consensus around the 64.5% implied probability for a 2026 release. Key catalysts include an expected October announcement window and further leaks on production readiness, though any delays in final validation or positioning as a premium “Ultra” model above existing Pro lines could still shift outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$72,023終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analysts like Ming-Chi Kuo confirm Apple is advancing a redesigned high-end MacBook with OLED touchscreen support, Dynamic Island, and M5 Pro/Max chips for a potential late-2026 launch, reversing years of resistance to touch input. Internal testing with macOS 27.1 and supply-chain signals reinforce the timeline, driving trader consensus around the 64.5% implied probability for a 2026 release. Key catalysts include an expected October announcement window and further leaks on production readiness, though any delays in final validation or positioning as a premium “Ultra” model above existing Pro lines could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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