Ukrainian defensive actions and localized counterattacks in Zaporizhzhia Oblast have shaped trader assessments of Russian prospects for capturing the full extent of Prymorske by late September 2026. Russian forces infiltrated parts of the village starting in December 2025 following gains near Kamianske and conducted incremental assaults through February 2026, yet Ukrainian units regained ground in northern and central sectors during March operations around Orikhiv and the Richne-Prymorske axis. Broader Ukrainian reports of over 600 square kilometers recaptured in 2026 reflect slowed Russian momentum across eastern and southern fronts amid intensified drone and artillery exchanges. Ongoing localized clashes near Prymorske, Plavni, and adjacent settlements continue without confirmed consolidation of southern areas, leaving full settlement control dependent on sustained manpower, fire support, and any shifts in the attritional frontline dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$88,370 Vol.
2026/12/30
September 30
3%
December 31
18%
$88,370 Vol.
September 30
$49,000 Vol.
3%
December 31
$22,160 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.623814° N, 35.288073° E in Prymorske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Ukrainian defensive actions and localized counterattacks in Zaporizhzhia Oblast have shaped trader assessments of Russian prospects for capturing the full extent of Prymorske by late September 2026. Russian forces infiltrated parts of the village starting in December 2025 following gains near Kamianske and conducted incremental assaults through February 2026, yet Ukrainian units regained ground in northern and central sectors during March operations around Orikhiv and the Richne-Prymorske axis. Broader Ukrainian reports of over 600 square kilometers recaptured in 2026 reflect slowed Russian momentum across eastern and southern fronts amid intensified drone and artillery exchanges. Ongoing localized clashes near Prymorske, Plavni, and adjacent settlements continue without confirmed consolidation of southern areas, leaving full settlement control dependent on sustained manpower, fire support, and any shifts in the attritional frontline dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.623814° N, 35.288073° E in Prymorske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
音量
$88,370終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.623814° N, 35.288073° E in Prymorske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Ukrainian defensive actions and localized counterattacks in Zaporizhzhia Oblast have shaped trader assessments of Russian prospects for capturing the full extent of Prymorske by late September 2026. Russian forces infiltrated parts of the village starting in December 2025 following gains near Kamianske and conducted incremental assaults through February 2026, yet Ukrainian units regained ground in northern and central sectors during March operations around Orikhiv and the Richne-Prymorske axis. Broader Ukrainian reports of over 600 square kilometers recaptured in 2026 reflect slowed Russian momentum across eastern and southern fronts amid intensified drone and artillery exchanges. Ongoing localized clashes near Prymorske, Plavni, and adjacent settlements continue without confirmed consolidation of southern areas, leaving full settlement control dependent on sustained manpower, fire support, and any shifts in the attritional frontline dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.623814° N, 35.288073° E in Prymorske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
音量
$88,370終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian defensive actions and localized counterattacks in Zaporizhzhia Oblast have shaped trader assessments of Russian prospects for capturing the full extent of Prymorske by late September 2026. Russian forces infiltrated parts of the village starting in December 2025 following gains near Kamianske and conducted incremental assaults through February 2026, yet Ukrainian units regained ground in northern and central sectors during March operations around Orikhiv and the Richne-Prymorske axis. Broader Ukrainian reports of over 600 square kilometers recaptured in 2026 reflect slowed Russian momentum across eastern and southern fronts amid intensified drone and artillery exchanges. Ongoing localized clashes near Prymorske, Plavni, and adjacent settlements continue without confirmed consolidation of southern areas, leaving full settlement control dependent on sustained manpower, fire support, and any shifts in the attritional frontline dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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