Ongoing negotiations following Stripe and Advent International's July $53 billion joint bid for PayPal have failed to produce a completed transaction, supporting the 65.6% market-implied probability of no acquisition in 2026. PayPal's board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer, seeking a higher valuation amid its depressed share price and slower growth relative to Stripe's $159 billion valuation and faster TPV expansion. Key barriers include potential antitrust scrutiny for combining major payments platforms, extended regulatory timelines, and the need for additional financing and due diligence before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these execution risks and limited remaining calendar time, pricing in a low probability of closure despite active talks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
34% 確率
$81,014 Vol.
$81,014 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
34% 確率
$81,014 Vol.
$81,014 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing negotiations following Stripe and Advent International's July $53 billion joint bid for PayPal have failed to produce a completed transaction, supporting the 65.6% market-implied probability of no acquisition in 2026. PayPal's board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer, seeking a higher valuation amid its depressed share price and slower growth relative to Stripe's $159 billion valuation and faster TPV expansion. Key barriers include potential antitrust scrutiny for combining major payments platforms, extended regulatory timelines, and the need for additional financing and due diligence before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these execution risks and limited remaining calendar time, pricing in a low probability of closure despite active talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$81,014終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing negotiations following Stripe and Advent International's July $53 billion joint bid for PayPal have failed to produce a completed transaction, supporting the 65.6% market-implied probability of no acquisition in 2026. PayPal's board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer, seeking a higher valuation amid its depressed share price and slower growth relative to Stripe's $159 billion valuation and faster TPV expansion. Key barriers include potential antitrust scrutiny for combining major payments platforms, extended regulatory timelines, and the need for additional financing and due diligence before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these execution risks and limited remaining calendar time, pricing in a low probability of closure despite active talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$81,014終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing negotiations following Stripe and Advent International's July $53 billion joint bid for PayPal have failed to produce a completed transaction, supporting the 65.6% market-implied probability of no acquisition in 2026. PayPal's board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer, seeking a higher valuation amid its depressed share price and slower growth relative to Stripe's $159 billion valuation and faster TPV expansion. Key barriers include potential antitrust scrutiny for combining major payments platforms, extended regulatory timelines, and the need for additional financing and due diligence before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these execution risks and limited remaining calendar time, pricing in a low probability of closure despite active talks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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