Alexis Galarneau's 66% implied probability in his Morelia Challenger quarterfinal against Miguel Tobon stems primarily from his higher ATP ranking (around No. 180 vs. Tobon's sub-400) and stronger recent clay-court form, including straight-set wins over higher seeds in earlier rounds. Galarneau's powerful baseline game and 70% first-serve win rate this tournament exploit Tobon's weaker return stats, where the Colombian qualifier has dropped sets in prior matches despite gritty upsets. No reported injuries for either, but Galarneau's head-to-head edge in similar hard-fought clay clashes and rest advantage after a quicker prior match bolster trader consensus, though Tobon's counterpunching could spark an upset on this high-altitude surface.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1st Set
This market refers on the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 at 2:30PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Miguel Tobon.
This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Alexis Galarneau.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to “Galarneau” if Alexis Galarneau wins the first set. It will resolve to “Tobon” if Miguel Tobon wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.Alexis Galarneau's 66% implied probability in his Morelia Challenger quarterfinal against Miguel Tobon stems primarily from his higher ATP ranking (around No. 180 vs. Tobon's sub-400) and stronger recent clay-court form, including straight-set wins over higher seeds in earlier rounds. Galarneau's powerful baseline game and 70% first-serve win rate this tournament exploit Tobon's weaker return stats, where the Colombian qualifier has dropped sets in prior matches despite gritty upsets. No reported injuries for either, but Galarneau's head-to-head edge in similar hard-fought clay clashes and rest advantage after a quicker prior match bolster trader consensus, though Tobon's counterpunching could spark an upset on this high-altitude surface.
This market refers on the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 at 2:30PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Miguel Tobon.
This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Alexis Galarneau.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Miguel Tobon.
This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Alexis Galarneau.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET1st Set
This market refers on the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 at 2:30PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Miguel Tobon.
This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Alexis Galarneau.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to “Galarneau” if Alexis Galarneau wins the first set. It will resolve to “Tobon” if Miguel Tobon wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.This market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.Alexis Galarneau's 66% implied probability in his Morelia Challenger quarterfinal against Miguel Tobon stems primarily from his higher ATP ranking (around No. 180 vs. Tobon's sub-400) and stronger recent clay-court form, including straight-set wins over higher seeds in earlier rounds. Galarneau's powerful baseline game and 70% first-serve win rate this tournament exploit Tobon's weaker return stats, where the Colombian qualifier has dropped sets in prior matches despite gritty upsets. No reported injuries for either, but Galarneau's head-to-head edge in similar hard-fought clay clashes and rest advantage after a quicker prior match bolster trader consensus, though Tobon's counterpunching could spark an upset on this high-altitude surface.
This market refers on the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Miguel Tobon in the Morelia, scheduled for March 24 at 2:30PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Miguel Tobon.
This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Alexis Galarneau.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Miguel Tobon.
This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Alexis Galarneau.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAlexis Galarneau's 66% implied probability in his Morelia Challenger quarterfinal against Miguel Tobon stems primarily from his higher ATP ranking (around No. 180 vs. Tobon's sub-400) and stronger recent clay-court form, including straight-set wins over higher seeds in earlier rounds. Galarneau's powerful baseline game and 70% first-serve win rate this tournament exploit Tobon's weaker return stats, where the Colombian qualifier has dropped sets in prior matches despite gritty upsets. No reported injuries for either, but Galarneau's head-to-head edge in similar hard-fought clay clashes and rest advantage after a quicker prior match bolster trader consensus, though Tobon's counterpunching could spark an upset on this high-altitude surface.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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