Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners with a 36.5% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their dominant UMK victory in late February and "Liekinheitin's" high-energy fusion of classical violin and pop, positioning it as a televote powerhouse despite jury skepticism. France's internal pick Monroe ("Regarde!") at 11.5% and Denmark's DMGP winner Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 10.4% have surged as challengers, bolstered by strong OGAE fan votes and preview buzz. Over the past week, Denmark's momentum narrowed Finland's lead amid ongoing national finals, though public sentiment favors the Nordic duo's stage spectacle ahead of May semis and final.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision Winner 2026
Eurovision Winner 2026
핀란드 36.5%
프랑스 11.5%
덴마크 10.4%
호주 6.9%
$91,405,770 거래량
$91,405,770 거래량
2026.05.16
핀란드
37%
프랑스
11%
덴마크
10%
호주
7%
그리스
6%
이스라엘
6%
스웨덴
3%
이탈리아
3%
우크라이나
2%
루마니아
2%
체코
1%
몰타
1%
불가리아
1%
키프로스
1%
몰도바
1%
크로아티아
1%
룩셈부르크
1%
독일
<1%
노르웨이
<1%
리투아니아
<1%
영국
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
벨기에
<1%
아르메니아
<1%
아제르바이잔
<1%
폴란드
<1%
세르비아
<1%
스위스
<1%
알바니아
<1%
에스토니아
<1%
라트비아
<1%
포르투갈
<1%
산마리노
<1%
조지아
<1%
몬테네그로
<1%
핀란드 36.5%
프랑스 11.5%
덴마크 10.4%
호주 6.9%
$91,405,770 거래량
$91,405,770 거래량
2026.05.16
핀란드
$2,539,272 거래량
37%
프랑스
$1,868,783 거래량
11%
덴마크
$1,326,369 거래량
10%
호주
$1,588,064 거래량
7%
그리스
$1,829,635 거래량
6%
이스라엘
$1,664,735 거래량
6%
스웨덴
$1,333,529 거래량
3%
이탈리아
$2,131,045 거래량
3%
우크라이나
$1,593,460 거래량
2%
루마니아
$1,399,731 거래량
2%
체코
$1,171,283 거래량
1%
몰타
$1,615,632 거래량
1%
불가리아
$1,684,929 거래량
1%
키프로스
$1,507,033 거래량
1%
몰도바
$1,773,290 거래량
1%
크로아티아
$1,642,163 거래량
1%
룩셈부르크
$1,865,759 거래량
1%
독일
$1,756,340 거래량
<1%
노르웨이
$2,515,407 거래량
<1%
리투아니아
$3,107,393 거래량
<1%
영국
$1,761,691 거래량
<1%
오스트리아
$4,975,545 거래량
<1%
벨기에
$2,297,731 거래량
<1%
아르메니아
$3,884,853 거래량
<1%
아제르바이잔
$4,407,092 거래량
<1%
폴란드
$3,843,771 거래량
<1%
세르비아
$2,407,858 거래량
<1%
스위스
$3,336,855 거래량
<1%
알바니아
$3,809,685 거래량
<1%
에스토니아
$4,457,853 거래량
<1%
라트비아
$3,819,679 거래량
<1%
포르투갈
$3,696,815 거래량
<1%
산마리노
$4,283,514 거래량
<1%
조지아
$4,077,845 거래량
<1%
몬테네그로
$4,441,217 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners with a 36.5% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their dominant UMK victory in late February and "Liekinheitin's" high-energy fusion of classical violin and pop, positioning it as a televote powerhouse despite jury skepticism. France's internal pick Monroe ("Regarde!") at 11.5% and Denmark's DMGP winner Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 10.4% have surged as challengers, bolstered by strong OGAE fan votes and preview buzz. Over the past week, Denmark's momentum narrowed Finland's lead amid ongoing national finals, though public sentiment favors the Nordic duo's stage spectacle ahead of May semis and final.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
거래량
$91,405,770종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners with a 36.5% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their dominant UMK victory in late February and "Liekinheitin's" high-energy fusion of classical violin and pop, positioning it as a televote powerhouse despite jury skepticism. France's internal pick Monroe ("Regarde!") at 11.5% and Denmark's DMGP winner Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 10.4% have surged as challengers, bolstered by strong OGAE fan votes and preview buzz. Over the past week, Denmark's momentum narrowed Finland's lead amid ongoing national finals, though public sentiment favors the Nordic duo's stage spectacle ahead of May semis and final.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
거래량
$91,405,770종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead as frontrunners with a 36.5% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their dominant UMK victory in late February and "Liekinheitin's" high-energy fusion of classical violin and pop, positioning it as a televote powerhouse despite jury skepticism. France's internal pick Monroe ("Regarde!") at 11.5% and Denmark's DMGP winner Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 10.4% have surged as challengers, bolstered by strong OGAE fan votes and preview buzz. Over the past week, Denmark's momentum narrowed Finland's lead amid ongoing national finals, though public sentiment favors the Nordic duo's stage spectacle ahead of May semis and final.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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