Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a high-energy fusion of classical violin and pop that has dominated bookie odds and OGAE fan polls since their February national final victory, positioning it as a televote powerhouse with chaotic stage appeal. France's Monroe follows at 11.7% on strong critical buzz for "Regarde!," while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard holds 10.6% thanks to melodic appeal in "Før...," and Australia's Delta Goodrem leverages star power in "Eclipse" at 7.0%. Recent semi-final running order reveals on April 2 have stabilized frontrunners, but jury-televote splits remain a wildcard ahead of Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on May 16.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Eurovision Winner 2026
Eurovision Winner 2026
핀란드 36.6%
프랑스 11.6%
덴마크 10.5%
호주 7.0%
$91,219,317 거래량
$91,219,317 거래량
핀란드
37%
프랑스
12%
덴마크
11%
호주
7%
이스라엘
6%
그리스
6%
스웨덴
3%
이탈리아
3%
우크라이나
2%
루마니아
2%
체코
1%
몰타
1%
불가리아
1%
키프로스
1%
몰도바
1%
크로아티아
1%
룩셈부르크
1%
독일
<1%
노르웨이
<1%
리투아니아
<1%
영국
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
벨기에
<1%
아르메니아
<1%
아제르바이잔
<1%
폴란드
<1%
세르비아
<1%
스위스
<1%
알바니아
<1%
에스토니아
<1%
라트비아
<1%
포르투갈
<1%
산마리노
<1%
조지아
<1%
몬테네그로
<1%
핀란드 36.6%
프랑스 11.6%
덴마크 10.5%
호주 7.0%
$91,219,317 거래량
$91,219,317 거래량
핀란드
37%
프랑스
12%
덴마크
11%
호주
7%
이스라엘
6%
그리스
6%
스웨덴
3%
이탈리아
3%
우크라이나
2%
루마니아
2%
체코
1%
몰타
1%
불가리아
1%
키프로스
1%
몰도바
1%
크로아티아
1%
룩셈부르크
1%
독일
<1%
노르웨이
<1%
리투아니아
<1%
영국
<1%
오스트리아
<1%
벨기에
<1%
아르메니아
<1%
아제르바이잔
<1%
폴란드
<1%
세르비아
<1%
스위스
<1%
알바니아
<1%
에스토니아
<1%
라트비아
<1%
포르투갈
<1%
산마리노
<1%
조지아
<1%
몬테네그로
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a high-energy fusion of classical violin and pop that has dominated bookie odds and OGAE fan polls since their February national final victory, positioning it as a televote powerhouse with chaotic stage appeal. France's Monroe follows at 11.7% on strong critical buzz for "Regarde!," while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard holds 10.6% thanks to melodic appeal in "Før...," and Australia's Delta Goodrem leverages star power in "Eclipse" at 7.0%. Recent semi-final running order reveals on April 2 have stabilized frontrunners, but jury-televote splits remain a wildcard ahead of Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on May 16.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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