Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 8°C at the central station, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a rare early-May cold snap. An Arctic airmass intrusion, combined with persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds, suppressed daytime heating well below the 20–22°C climatological average for the date. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models had accurately converged on 8–9°C in the lead-up, reflecting strong trader alignment with verified data. Only a formal data revision by MGM—such as station equipment recalibration—could realistically challenge this resolution, though such events are exceedingly rare.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on May 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 2?
8°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$68,920 거래량
$68,920 거래량
2026.05.02
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$68,920 거래량
$68,920 거래량
2026.05.02
3°C or below
$1,506 거래량
No
4°C
$2,167 거래량
No
5°C
$3,108 거래량
No
6°C
$4,425 거래량
No
7°C
$12,034 거래량
No
8°C
$13,170 거래량
Yes
9°C
$7,477 거래량
No
10°C
$10,262 거래량
No
11°C
$6,064 거래량
No
12°C
$4,297 거래량
No
13°C or higher
$4,409 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 8°C at the central station, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a rare early-May cold snap. An Arctic airmass intrusion, combined with persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds, suppressed daytime heating well below the 20–22°C climatological average for the date. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models had accurately converged on 8–9°C in the lead-up, reflecting strong trader alignment with verified data. Only a formal data revision by MGM—such as station equipment recalibration—could realistically challenge this resolution, though such events are exceedingly rare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$68,920종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 8°C at the central station, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a rare early-May cold snap. An Arctic airmass intrusion, combined with persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds, suppressed daytime heating well below the 20–22°C climatological average for the date. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models had accurately converged on 8–9°C in the lead-up, reflecting strong trader alignment with verified data. Only a formal data revision by MGM—such as station equipment recalibration—could realistically challenge this resolution, though such events are exceedingly rare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$68,920종료일
2026.05.02마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 8°C at the central station, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a rare early-May cold snap. An Arctic airmass intrusion, combined with persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northerly winds, suppressed daytime heating well below the 20–22°C climatological average for the date. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models had accurately converged on 8–9°C in the lead-up, reflecting strong trader alignment with verified data. Only a formal data revision by MGM—such as station equipment recalibration—could realistically challenge this resolution, though such events are exceedingly rare.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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