Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 13°C or higher on May 5, 2026, anchored by the latest forecast from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü indicating a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid very cloudy conditions and light rain. This positioning follows an anomalous early-May cold snap, with prior days logging highs around 7–9°C well below the typical 19–20°C early-month average, but recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles signals modest recovery driven by weakening northerly winds and reduced precipitation intensity. Historical data at Ankara's Esenboğa station shows May highs rarely falling below 12°C even during cold outbreaks. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover or unexpected heavy showers stifling afternoon heating, with peak temperatures typically observed between 2–5 p.m. local time; real-time observations from official stations will provide final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on May 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 5?
13°C or higher 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$72,227 거래량
$72,227 거래량
2026.05.05
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
Yes
13°C or higher 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$72,227 거래량
$72,227 거래량
2026.05.05
3°C or below
$2,188 거래량
No
4°C
$1,419 거래량
No
5°C
$578 거래량
No
6°C
$2,411 거래량
No
7°C
$2,370 거래량
No
8°C
$2,934 거래량
No
9°C
$5,450 거래량
No
10°C
$9,310 거래량
No
11°C
$15,670 거래량
No
12°C
$18,728 거래량
No
13°C or higher
$11,169 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 13°C or higher on May 5, 2026, anchored by the latest forecast from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü indicating a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid very cloudy conditions and light rain. This positioning follows an anomalous early-May cold snap, with prior days logging highs around 7–9°C well below the typical 19–20°C early-month average, but recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles signals modest recovery driven by weakening northerly winds and reduced precipitation intensity. Historical data at Ankara's Esenboğa station shows May highs rarely falling below 12°C even during cold outbreaks. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover or unexpected heavy showers stifling afternoon heating, with peak temperatures typically observed between 2–5 p.m. local time; real-time observations from official stations will provide final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
거래량
$72,227종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 13°C or higher on May 5, 2026, anchored by the latest forecast from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü indicating a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid very cloudy conditions and light rain. This positioning follows an anomalous early-May cold snap, with prior days logging highs around 7–9°C well below the typical 19–20°C early-month average, but recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles signals modest recovery driven by weakening northerly winds and reduced precipitation intensity. Historical data at Ankara's Esenboğa station shows May highs rarely falling below 12°C even during cold outbreaks. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover or unexpected heavy showers stifling afternoon heating, with peak temperatures typically observed between 2–5 p.m. local time; real-time observations from official stations will provide final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$72,227종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 13°C or higher on May 5, 2026, anchored by the latest forecast from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü indicating a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid very cloudy conditions and light rain. This positioning follows an anomalous early-May cold snap, with prior days logging highs around 7–9°C well below the typical 19–20°C early-month average, but recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles signals modest recovery driven by weakening northerly winds and reduced precipitation intensity. Historical data at Ankara's Esenboğa station shows May highs rarely falling below 12°C even during cold outbreaks. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover or unexpected heavy showers stifling afternoon heating, with peak temperatures typically observed between 2–5 p.m. local time; real-time observations from official stations will provide final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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