National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models projected a daily high in the low 90s°F for Austin on June 2, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for 90°F or higher. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average maxima reach 89–93°F under strengthening high pressure and typical southerly flow. Recent spring rainfall maintained soil moisture that modestly limited extreme heating, yet no cool fronts or tropical intrusions appeared in guidance to suppress readings below the threshold. Official observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport confirm the outcome met the 90°F criterion, with resolution hinging on verified station data rather than model projections alone.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on June 2?
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$23,330 거래량
$23,330 거래량
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
Yes
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$23,330 거래량
$23,330 거래량
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: May 31, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models projected a daily high in the low 90s°F for Austin on June 2, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for 90°F or higher. This aligns with early-June climatology, where average maxima reach 89–93°F under strengthening high pressure and typical southerly flow. Recent spring rainfall maintained soil moisture that modestly limited extreme heating, yet no cool fronts or tropical intrusions appeared in guidance to suppress readings below the threshold. Official observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport confirm the outcome met the 90°F criterion, with resolution hinging on verified station data rather than model projections alone.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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