Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA), the market's resolution station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, confirm the temperature peaked at 23°C around midday on April 19, with subsequent readings declining amid increasing cloud cover and light northerly winds. This aligns with consensus from updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, which projected highs of 22–24°C under mild spring conditions typical for mid-April, where historical averages hover near 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the locked-in daily maximum, as sunset approaches with minimal solar heating potential remaining. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon cloud break enabling a brief 1°C spike or post-facto data revision from quality-controlled records, though probabilities remain negligible per current meteorological data. Final CMA summary expected post-midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on April 19?
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$163,156 거래량
$163,156 거래량
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$163,156 거래량
$163,156 거래량
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA), the market's resolution station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, confirm the temperature peaked at 23°C around midday on April 19, with subsequent readings declining amid increasing cloud cover and light northerly winds. This aligns with consensus from updated ECMWF and GFS model runs, which projected highs of 22–24°C under mild spring conditions typical for mid-April, where historical averages hover near 22°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the locked-in daily maximum, as sunset approaches with minimal solar heating potential remaining. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon cloud break enabling a brief 1°C spike or post-facto data revision from quality-controlled records, though probabilities remain negligible per current meteorological data. Final CMA summary expected post-midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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