Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS project Beijing's April 19 high near 21–22°C, driving trader sentiment toward that outcome at 24.5% implied probability, following recent highs in the upper 20s to low 30s under sunny southerly flow. A post-frontal northerly breeze and increasing cloud cover—potentially overcast or light rain—are expected to cap diurnal heating, with model ensembles showing slight spread: ECMWF leaning cooler around 21°C due to persistent stratus, while GFS hints at 23–24°C if partial clearing occurs. April climatological averages hover at 20–22°C, amplifying uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and frontal timing; monitor CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on April 19?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 19?
21°C 25%
20°C 18.3%
22°C 15%
24°C 13%
19°C or below
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
25%
22°C
15%
23°C
11%
24°C
13%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
21°C 25%
20°C 18.3%
22°C 15%
24°C 13%
19°C or below
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
25%
22°C
15%
23°C
11%
24°C
13%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like GFS project Beijing's April 19 high near 21–22°C, driving trader sentiment toward that outcome at 24.5% implied probability, following recent highs in the upper 20s to low 30s under sunny southerly flow. A post-frontal northerly breeze and increasing cloud cover—potentially overcast or light rain—are expected to cap diurnal heating, with model ensembles showing slight spread: ECMWF leaning cooler around 21°C due to persistent stratus, while GFS hints at 23–24°C if partial clearing occurs. April climatological averages hover at 20–22°C, amplifying uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and frontal timing; monitor CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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