Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on May 4?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 4?
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$89,519 거래량
$89,519 거래량
2026.05.04
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$89,519 거래량
$89,519 거래량
2026.05.04
24°C or below
$18,128 거래량
No
25°C
$12,306 거래량
No
26°C
$14,108 거래량
Yes
27°C
$11,977 거래량
No
28°C
$8,444 거래량
No
29°C
$8,349 거래량
No
30°C
$6,344 거래량
No
31°C
$4,964 거래량
No
32°C
$1,440 거래량
No
33°C
$1,666 거래량
No
34°C or higher
$1,792 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
거래량
$89,519종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$89,519종료일
2026.05.04마켓 개설일
May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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