National Weather Service guidance, last updated late May 4, projects a high near 59°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 5 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers and north-northwest winds around 10 mph, aligning with trader consensus implying 100% probability of 60°F or higher as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound from early May chills (highs near 50°F on May 1), May climatological normals of 66.6°F, and prior model runs favoring mid-60s amid weak frontal influences and ample solar potential despite cloudiness. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or unexpected precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though short-fuse updates from NOAA hourly observations remain key before official daily max reporting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chicago on May 5?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 5?
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$89,072 거래량
$89,072 거래량
2026.05.05
41°F or below
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60°F or higher
Yes
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$89,072 거래량
$89,072 거래량
2026.05.05
41°F or below
$27,074 거래량
No
42-43°F
$8,271 거래량
No
44-45°F
$5,358 거래량
No
46-47°F
$5,976 거래량
No
48-49°F
$9,026 거래량
No
50-51°F
$5,701 거래량
No
52-53°F
$3,455 거래량
No
54-55°F
$4,778 거래량
No
56-57°F
$6,419 거래량
No
58-59°F
$5,259 거래량
No
60°F or higher
$7,755 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance, last updated late May 4, projects a high near 59°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 5 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers and north-northwest winds around 10 mph, aligning with trader consensus implying 100% probability of 60°F or higher as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound from early May chills (highs near 50°F on May 1), May climatological normals of 66.6°F, and prior model runs favoring mid-60s amid weak frontal influences and ample solar potential despite cloudiness. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or unexpected precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though short-fuse updates from NOAA hourly observations remain key before official daily max reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
거래량
$89,072종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance, last updated late May 4, projects a high near 59°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 5 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers and north-northwest winds around 10 mph, aligning with trader consensus implying 100% probability of 60°F or higher as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound from early May chills (highs near 50°F on May 1), May climatological normals of 66.6°F, and prior model runs favoring mid-60s amid weak frontal influences and ample solar potential despite cloudiness. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or unexpected precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though short-fuse updates from NOAA hourly observations remain key before official daily max reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$89,072종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
National Weather Service guidance, last updated late May 4, projects a high near 59°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 5 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers and north-northwest winds around 10 mph, aligning with trader consensus implying 100% probability of 60°F or higher as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound from early May chills (highs near 50°F on May 1), May climatological normals of 66.6°F, and prior model runs favoring mid-60s amid weak frontal influences and ample solar potential despite cloudiness. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or unexpected precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though short-fuse updates from NOAA hourly observations remain key before official daily max reporting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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