India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position 42°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 44% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 19, driven by clear skies and intensifying regional heatwave conditions observed over the past week, with nearby Uttar Pradesh areas hitting 45°C on April 17. Recent observations show Lucknow's maximum rising to 39.8°C (+1.3°C above normal) on April 16, escalating to around 41°C projected for April 18 amid high insolation and minimal cloud cover, boosting trader consensus on 42-43°C outcomes totaling over 75%. Historical April averages hover near 39°C, but current anticyclonic circulation and dry air mass favor further spikes, though model ensembles note 1-2°C uncertainty; final IMD updates and airport observations will resolve the market within 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 19?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 19?
42°C 45%
43°C 32%
41°C 12%
40°C or below 5.8%
40°C or below
6%
41°C
12%
42°C
45%
43°C
32%
44°C
6%
45°C
2%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C or higher
<1%
42°C 45%
43°C 32%
41°C 12%
40°C or below 5.8%
40°C or below
6%
41°C
12%
42°C
45%
43°C
32%
44°C
6%
45°C
2%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts position 42°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 44% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 19, driven by clear skies and intensifying regional heatwave conditions observed over the past week, with nearby Uttar Pradesh areas hitting 45°C on April 17. Recent observations show Lucknow's maximum rising to 39.8°C (+1.3°C above normal) on April 16, escalating to around 41°C projected for April 18 amid high insolation and minimal cloud cover, boosting trader consensus on 42-43°C outcomes totaling over 75%. Historical April averages hover near 39°C, but current anticyclonic circulation and dry air mass favor further spikes, though model ensembles note 1-2°C uncertainty; final IMD updates and airport observations will resolve the market within 24 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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