Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 3's highest temperature peaked at 21°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability amid verified hourly data feeds. Pre-event forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF models projected maximums of 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover, light showers, and cool northerly flows channeling Atlantic air into central Spain, slightly below the early May climatological average of 22°C. This positioning reflects strong evidence from automated station measurements, with realistic challenges limited to rare post hoc data corrections for sensor anomalies or quality control revisions by AEMET.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on May 3?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 3?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$101,559 거래량
$101,559 거래량
2026.05.03
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$101,559 거래량
$101,559 거래량
2026.05.03
16°C or below
$2,897 거래량
No
17°C
$2,199 거래량
No
18°C
$5,767 거래량
No
19°C
$10,491 거래량
No
20°C
$14,126 거래량
No
21°C
$13,379 거래량
Yes
22°C
$10,552 거래량
No
23°C
$15,371 거래량
No
24°C
$11,036 거래량
No
25°C
$7,757 거래량
No
26°C or higher
$7,984 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 3's highest temperature peaked at 21°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability amid verified hourly data feeds. Pre-event forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF models projected maximums of 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover, light showers, and cool northerly flows channeling Atlantic air into central Spain, slightly below the early May climatological average of 22°C. This positioning reflects strong evidence from automated station measurements, with realistic challenges limited to rare post hoc data corrections for sensor anomalies or quality control revisions by AEMET.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$101,559종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 3's highest temperature peaked at 21°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability amid verified hourly data feeds. Pre-event forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF models projected maximums of 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover, light showers, and cool northerly flows channeling Atlantic air into central Spain, slightly below the early May climatological average of 22°C. This positioning reflects strong evidence from automated station measurements, with realistic challenges limited to rare post hoc data corrections for sensor anomalies or quality control revisions by AEMET.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$101,559종료일
2026.05.03마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 3's highest temperature peaked at 21°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability amid verified hourly data feeds. Pre-event forecasts from AEMET and ECMWF models projected maximums of 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover, light showers, and cool northerly flows channeling Atlantic air into central Spain, slightly below the early May climatological average of 22°C. This positioning reflects strong evidence from automated station measurements, with realistic challenges limited to rare post hoc data corrections for sensor anomalies or quality control revisions by AEMET.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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