Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on June 25?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$96,170 거래량
$96,170 거래량
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$96,170 거래량
$96,170 거래량
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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