Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 20°C amid clear skies and light southerly winds that enabled radiative warming slightly above the early May climatological average of 17–18°C. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the 19–21°C range under high-pressure influence. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 20°C reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating real-time meteorological evidence. Scenarios challenging this—such as a post-verification data revision or station-specific measurement anomaly—are exceedingly rare, given DWD's rigorous quality controls.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on May 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 1?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$100,567 거래량
$100,567 거래량
2026.05.01
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$100,567 거래량
$100,567 거래량
2026.05.01
13°C or below
$1,625 거래량
No
14°C
$411 거래량
No
15°C
$526 거래량
No
16°C
$4,189 거래량
No
17°C
$9,078 거래량
No
18°C
$30,591 거래량
No
19°C
$11,076 거래량
No
20°C
$14,176 거래량
Yes
21°C
$9,526 거래량
No
22°C
$13,040 거래량
No
23°C or higher
$6,328 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 20°C amid clear skies and light southerly winds that enabled radiative warming slightly above the early May climatological average of 17–18°C. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the 19–21°C range under high-pressure influence. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 20°C reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating real-time meteorological evidence. Scenarios challenging this—such as a post-verification data revision or station-specific measurement anomaly—are exceedingly rare, given DWD's rigorous quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$100,567종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 20°C amid clear skies and light southerly winds that enabled radiative warming slightly above the early May climatological average of 17–18°C. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the 19–21°C range under high-pressure influence. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 20°C reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating real-time meteorological evidence. Scenarios challenging this—such as a post-verification data revision or station-specific measurement anomaly—are exceedingly rare, given DWD's rigorous quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$100,567종료일
2026.05.01마켓 개설일
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 20°C amid clear skies and light southerly winds that enabled radiative warming slightly above the early May climatological average of 17–18°C. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the 19–21°C range under high-pressure influence. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 20°C reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating real-time meteorological evidence. Scenarios challenging this—such as a post-verification data revision or station-specific measurement anomaly—are exceedingly rare, given DWD's rigorous quality controls.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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