Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seattle on May 9?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 9?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$61,109 거래량
$61,109 거래량
2026.05.09
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$61,109 거래량
$61,109 거래량
2026.05.09
47°F or below
$4,926 거래량
No
48-49°F
$2,026 거래량
No
50-51°F
$1,502 거래량
No
52-53°F
$1,099 거래량
No
54-55°F
$1,540 거래량
No
56-57°F
$3,013 거래량
No
58-59°F
$2,744 거래량
No
60-61°F
$4,572 거래량
No
62-63°F
$3,929 거래량
No
64-65°F
$25,874 거래량
No
66°F or higher
$9,885 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
거래량
$61,109종료일
2026.05.09마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$61,109종료일
2026.05.09마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 1:00 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seattle's highest temperature on May 9 reaching 66°F or higher, confirmed by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the standard reporting station for such markets. National Weather Service observations recorded peak readings aligning with pre-event forecasts of 67-71°F from GFS and ECMWF models, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest fostering warm air advection and subsidence amid partly sunny skies with light southwest winds. This exceeded the May 9 climatological average of 64°F, extending an early-May warm anomaly that shattered prior records up to 81°F. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, though ASOS readings are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문