Google’s Gemini series continues rapid iteration, with the 3.5 Flash variant reaching general availability on May 19, 2026, following the November 2025 debut of Gemini 3 Pro that immediately posted a record 1487 Elo on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena. Competitive pressure from Claude Opus 4.6, GPT-5 variants, and Grok 4 models has kept Google focused on long-context reasoning, native multimodality, and tool-use improvements across 1-million-token windows. Recent previews and leaderboard entries typically occur shortly after internal testing, driven by Google DeepMind’s push for frontier performance ahead of developer conferences and enterprise rollouts. Traders watch for official announcements on Google AI Studio or Vertex AI that signal when the next major Gemini release will enter anonymous Arena battles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$42,788 거래량
1460+
Yes
1470+
Yes
1480+
Yes
1490+
No
1500+
No
1510+
No
1520+
No
$42,788 거래량
1460+
$4,014 거래량
Yes
1470+
$4,234 거래량
Yes
1480+
$22,112 거래량
Yes
1490+
$5,740 거래량
No
1500+
$1,650 거래량
No
1510+
$1,769 거래량
No
1520+
$3,267 거래량
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.
If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model’s first appearance will not be considered.
A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".Google’s Gemini series continues rapid iteration, with the 3.5 Flash variant reaching general availability on May 19, 2026, following the November 2025 debut of Gemini 3 Pro that immediately posted a record 1487 Elo on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena. Competitive pressure from Claude Opus 4.6, GPT-5 variants, and Grok 4 models has kept Google focused on long-context reasoning, native multimodality, and tool-use improvements across 1-million-token windows. Recent previews and leaderboard entries typically occur shortly after internal testing, driven by Google DeepMind’s push for frontier performance ahead of developer conferences and enterprise rollouts. Traders watch for official announcements on Google AI Studio or Vertex AI that signal when the next major Gemini release will enter anonymous Arena battles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.
If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model’s first appearance will not be considered.
A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.
If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model’s first appearance will not be considered.
A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
마켓 개설일: May 18, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
거래량
$42,788마켓 개설일
May 18, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.
If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model’s first appearance will not be considered.
A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".Google’s Gemini series continues rapid iteration, with the 3.5 Flash variant reaching general availability on May 19, 2026, following the November 2025 debut of Gemini 3 Pro that immediately posted a record 1487 Elo on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena. Competitive pressure from Claude Opus 4.6, GPT-5 variants, and Grok 4 models has kept Google focused on long-context reasoning, native multimodality, and tool-use improvements across 1-million-token windows. Recent previews and leaderboard entries typically occur shortly after internal testing, driven by Google DeepMind’s push for frontier performance ahead of developer conferences and enterprise rollouts. Traders watch for official announcements on Google AI Studio or Vertex AI that signal when the next major Gemini release will enter anonymous Arena battles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.
If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model’s first appearance will not be considered.
A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.
If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model’s first appearance will not be considered.
A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
거래량
$42,788마켓 개설일
May 18, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Google’s Gemini series continues rapid iteration, with the 3.5 Flash variant reaching general availability on May 19, 2026, following the November 2025 debut of Gemini 3 Pro that immediately posted a record 1487 Elo on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena. Competitive pressure from Claude Opus 4.6, GPT-5 variants, and Grok 4 models has kept Google focused on long-context reasoning, native multimodality, and tool-use improvements across 1-million-token windows. Recent previews and leaderboard entries typically occur shortly after internal testing, driven by Google DeepMind’s push for frontier performance ahead of developer conferences and enterprise rollouts. Traders watch for official announcements on Google AI Studio or Vertex AI that signal when the next major Gemini release will enter anonymous Arena battles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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