Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027, driven by unrepaired damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage that rendered three of four lines inoperable, with repair permits expired since September 2025 and operator Nord Stream 2 AG in bankruptcy proceedings. Germany's economy ministry has repeatedly affirmed no plans to restart Nord Stream 1 or activate the intact Nord Stream 2 line amid ongoing sanctions, EU diversification to LNG imports, and unresolved sabotage probes implicating possible Ukrainian involvement per German investigations. Despite Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov's March 2026 claims of U.S. interest in taking control and sporadic diplomatic rumors, Berlin's firm opposition and geopolitical tensions over Ukraine leave significant barriers, with no repair work advanced in the past year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027, driven by unrepaired damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage that rendered three of four lines inoperable, with repair permits expired since September 2025 and operator Nord Stream 2 AG in bankruptcy proceedings. Germany's economy ministry has repeatedly affirmed no plans to restart Nord Stream 1 or activate the intact Nord Stream 2 line amid ongoing sanctions, EU diversification to LNG imports, and unresolved sabotage probes implicating possible Ukrainian involvement per German investigations. Despite Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov's March 2026 claims of U.S. interest in taking control and sporadic diplomatic rumors, Berlin's firm opposition and geopolitical tensions over Ukraine leave significant barriers, with no repair work advanced in the past year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
거래량
$7,517종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027, driven by unrepaired damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage that rendered three of four lines inoperable, with repair permits expired since September 2025 and operator Nord Stream 2 AG in bankruptcy proceedings. Germany's economy ministry has repeatedly affirmed no plans to restart Nord Stream 1 or activate the intact Nord Stream 2 line amid ongoing sanctions, EU diversification to LNG imports, and unresolved sabotage probes implicating possible Ukrainian involvement per German investigations. Despite Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov's March 2026 claims of U.S. interest in taking control and sporadic diplomatic rumors, Berlin's firm opposition and geopolitical tensions over Ukraine leave significant barriers, with no repair work advanced in the past year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$7,524종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027, driven by unrepaired damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage that rendered three of four lines inoperable, with repair permits expired since September 2025 and operator Nord Stream 2 AG in bankruptcy proceedings. Germany's economy ministry has repeatedly affirmed no plans to restart Nord Stream 1 or activate the intact Nord Stream 2 line amid ongoing sanctions, EU diversification to LNG imports, and unresolved sabotage probes implicating possible Ukrainian involvement per German investigations. Despite Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov's March 2026 claims of U.S. interest in taking control and sporadic diplomatic rumors, Berlin's firm opposition and geopolitical tensions over Ukraine leave significant barriers, with no repair work advanced in the past year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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