Recent polls from April 14, including CAM at 32.1% (projecting 90 seats) and Market Links at 36.7%, position Progressive Bulgaria (PB)—the new coalition led by former President Rumen Radev—as the frontrunner with 90-95 seats likely in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, aligning with trader consensus favoring 95+ (34%) and 85-89 (27.5%) outcomes. PB's surge, fueled by anti-corruption appeals and 67% of private campaign donations, capitalizes on voter fatigue from seven prior snap elections since 2021 and fragmented opposition (GERB-SDS ~20%, PP-DB ~13%). Close probabilities reflect poll variability, undecided voters, and turnout uncertainty above 50%, with final campaigning or meddling allegations potentially tipping seat totals before the April 19 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트95+ 34%
85-89 28%
90~94 17%
80-84 14%
$46,132 거래량
$46,132 거래량
2026.04.19
75석 미만
2%
75~79
1%
80-84
14%
85-89
28%
90~94
17%
95+
34%
95+ 34%
85-89 28%
90~94 17%
80-84 14%
$46,132 거래량
$46,132 거래량
2026.04.19
75석 미만
$1,183 거래량
2%
75~79
$1,689 거래량
1%
80-84
$9,368 거래량
14%
85-89
$8,644 거래량
28%
90~94
$6,793 거래량
17%
95+
$18,455 거래량
34%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from April 14, including CAM at 32.1% (projecting 90 seats) and Market Links at 36.7%, position Progressive Bulgaria (PB)—the new coalition led by former President Rumen Radev—as the frontrunner with 90-95 seats likely in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, aligning with trader consensus favoring 95+ (34%) and 85-89 (27.5%) outcomes. PB's surge, fueled by anti-corruption appeals and 67% of private campaign donations, capitalizes on voter fatigue from seven prior snap elections since 2021 and fragmented opposition (GERB-SDS ~20%, PP-DB ~13%). Close probabilities reflect poll variability, undecided voters, and turnout uncertainty above 50%, with final campaigning or meddling allegations potentially tipping seat totals before the April 19 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
거래량
$46,132종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from April 14, including CAM at 32.1% (projecting 90 seats) and Market Links at 36.7%, position Progressive Bulgaria (PB)—the new coalition led by former President Rumen Radev—as the frontrunner with 90-95 seats likely in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, aligning with trader consensus favoring 95+ (34%) and 85-89 (27.5%) outcomes. PB's surge, fueled by anti-corruption appeals and 67% of private campaign donations, capitalizes on voter fatigue from seven prior snap elections since 2021 and fragmented opposition (GERB-SDS ~20%, PP-DB ~13%). Close probabilities reflect poll variability, undecided voters, and turnout uncertainty above 50%, with final campaigning or meddling allegations potentially tipping seat totals before the April 19 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$46,132종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from April 14, including CAM at 32.1% (projecting 90 seats) and Market Links at 36.7%, position Progressive Bulgaria (PB)—the new coalition led by former President Rumen Radev—as the frontrunner with 90-95 seats likely in Bulgaria's 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, aligning with trader consensus favoring 95+ (34%) and 85-89 (27.5%) outcomes. PB's surge, fueled by anti-corruption appeals and 67% of private campaign donations, capitalizes on voter fatigue from seven prior snap elections since 2021 and fragmented opposition (GERB-SDS ~20%, PP-DB ~13%). Close probabilities reflect poll variability, undecided voters, and turnout uncertainty above 50%, with final campaigning or meddling allegations potentially tipping seat totals before the April 19 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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