Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) projecting 57 seats for GERB-SDS and Sova Harris (April 2-6) at 53 seats, anchor trader consensus in the closely contested 50-59 seat brackets amid Bulgaria's proportional representation system allocating 240 National Assembly seats. Progressive Bulgaria's surge to 30-37% on anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government has eroded GERB-SDS support from March highs near 23%, fostering fragmentation with five parties likely entering parliament. Intensified vote-buying crackdowns, confiscating over €1 million, and expected higher turnout introduce volatility just three days before the April 19 snap election—its seventh since 2021—while final campaign pushes or turnout in urban versus rural areas could widen the spread toward 60+ or below 50 seats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트55-59 35%
50-54 27%
60-64 18.2%
65-69 16%
$34,132 거래량
$34,132 거래량
2026.04.19
50석 미만
7%
50-54
34%
55-59
35%
60-64
18%
65-69
16%
70+
6%
55-59 35%
50-54 27%
60-64 18.2%
65-69 16%
$34,132 거래량
$34,132 거래량
2026.04.19
50석 미만
$1,965 거래량
7%
50-54
$360 거래량
34%
55-59
$7,686 거래량
35%
60-64
$20,177 거래량
18%
65-69
$2,838 거래량
16%
70+
$1,190 거래량
6%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) projecting 57 seats for GERB-SDS and Sova Harris (April 2-6) at 53 seats, anchor trader consensus in the closely contested 50-59 seat brackets amid Bulgaria's proportional representation system allocating 240 National Assembly seats. Progressive Bulgaria's surge to 30-37% on anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government has eroded GERB-SDS support from March highs near 23%, fostering fragmentation with five parties likely entering parliament. Intensified vote-buying crackdowns, confiscating over €1 million, and expected higher turnout introduce volatility just three days before the April 19 snap election—its seventh since 2021—while final campaign pushes or turnout in urban versus rural areas could widen the spread toward 60+ or below 50 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ET
거래량
$34,132종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) projecting 57 seats for GERB-SDS and Sova Harris (April 2-6) at 53 seats, anchor trader consensus in the closely contested 50-59 seat brackets amid Bulgaria's proportional representation system allocating 240 National Assembly seats. Progressive Bulgaria's surge to 30-37% on anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government has eroded GERB-SDS support from March highs near 23%, fostering fragmentation with five parties likely entering parliament. Intensified vote-buying crackdowns, confiscating over €1 million, and expected higher turnout introduce volatility just three days before the April 19 snap election—its seventh since 2021—while final campaign pushes or turnout in urban versus rural areas could widen the spread toward 60+ or below 50 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$34,132종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) projecting 57 seats for GERB-SDS and Sova Harris (April 2-6) at 53 seats, anchor trader consensus in the closely contested 50-59 seat brackets amid Bulgaria's proportional representation system allocating 240 National Assembly seats. Progressive Bulgaria's surge to 30-37% on anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government has eroded GERB-SDS support from March highs near 23%, fostering fragmentation with five parties likely entering parliament. Intensified vote-buying crackdowns, confiscating over €1 million, and expected higher turnout introduce volatility just three days before the April 19 snap election—its seventh since 2021—while final campaign pushes or turnout in urban versus rural areas could widen the spread toward 60+ or below 50 seats.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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