Recent polls for Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including CAM and Market Links surveys from April 14, consistently position Progressive Bulgaria first at 32-37%, GERB-SDS second at 19-22%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, ahead of DPS at 8-11% and Vazrazhdane lower. This stable ordering across multiple pollsters like Sova Harris and Gallup over the past two weeks drives trader consensus, with PP-DB's 78% implied probability for third place reflecting its edge in proportional representation vote shares amid low undecideds. Intensified police raids on vote-buying schemes have not shifted standings, while coalition negotiations loom post-election given no projected majority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트PP–DB 78%
DPS 18%
부흥당 3.1%
GERB-SDS 2.3%
$88,473 거래량
$88,473 거래량
2026.04.19
PP–DB
78%
DPS
18%
부흥당
3%
GERB-SDS
2%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
MECh
<1%
PB
<1%
APS
<1%
벨리치에
<1%
PP–DB 78%
DPS 18%
부흥당 3.1%
GERB-SDS 2.3%
$88,473 거래량
$88,473 거래량
2026.04.19
PP–DB
$24,847 거래량
78%
DPS
$13,676 거래량
18%
부흥당
$3,435 거래량
3%
GERB-SDS
$15,440 거래량
2%
BSP
$20,073 거래량
<1%
ITN
$2,065 거래량
<1%
MECh
$3,485 거래량
<1%
PB
$1,575 거래량
<1%
APS
$2,076 거래량
<1%
벨리치에
$1,802 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls for Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including CAM and Market Links surveys from April 14, consistently position Progressive Bulgaria first at 32-37%, GERB-SDS second at 19-22%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, ahead of DPS at 8-11% and Vazrazhdane lower. This stable ordering across multiple pollsters like Sova Harris and Gallup over the past two weeks drives trader consensus, with PP-DB's 78% implied probability for third place reflecting its edge in proportional representation vote shares amid low undecideds. Intensified police raids on vote-buying schemes have not shifted standings, while coalition negotiations loom post-election given no projected majority.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
거래량
$88,473종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls for Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including CAM and Market Links surveys from April 14, consistently position Progressive Bulgaria first at 32-37%, GERB-SDS second at 19-22%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, ahead of DPS at 8-11% and Vazrazhdane lower. This stable ordering across multiple pollsters like Sova Harris and Gallup over the past two weeks drives trader consensus, with PP-DB's 78% implied probability for third place reflecting its edge in proportional representation vote shares amid low undecideds. Intensified police raids on vote-buying schemes have not shifted standings, while coalition negotiations loom post-election given no projected majority.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$88,473종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including CAM and Market Links surveys from April 14, consistently position Progressive Bulgaria first at 32-37%, GERB-SDS second at 19-22%, and PP-DB third at 12-13%, ahead of DPS at 8-11% and Vazrazhdane lower. This stable ordering across multiple pollsters like Sova Harris and Gallup over the past two weeks drives trader consensus, with PP-DB's 78% implied probability for third place reflecting its edge in proportional representation vote shares amid low undecideds. Intensified police raids on vote-buying schemes have not shifted standings, while coalition negotiations loom post-election given no projected majority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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