President Trump's March 31 executive order, "Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections," directing the US Postal Service to limit mail-in ballots to state-provided verified citizen lists, has triggered swift lawsuits from Democratic attorneys general in states like California and Colorado, voting rights advocates, and rebukes from even Republican officials such as Iowa Secretary of State Paul Pate. Legal experts widely view the measure as an unconstitutional federal overreach into state-run elections, fueling rapid court filings for injunctions ahead of 2026 midterms. Trader consensus reflects this momentum with a 58% implied probability of a block in April, though procedural delays, venue disputes, or appeals could push resolution beyond the month.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.04.30
신규
신규
2026.04.30
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's March 31 executive order, "Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections," directing the US Postal Service to limit mail-in ballots to state-provided verified citizen lists, has triggered swift lawsuits from Democratic attorneys general in states like California and Colorado, voting rights advocates, and rebukes from even Republican officials such as Iowa Secretary of State Paul Pate. Legal experts widely view the measure as an unconstitutional federal overreach into state-run elections, fueling rapid court filings for injunctions ahead of 2026 midterms. Trader consensus reflects this momentum with a 58% implied probability of a block in April, though procedural delays, venue disputes, or appeals could push resolution beyond the month.
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
거래량
$2,703종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's March 31 executive order, "Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections," directing the US Postal Service to limit mail-in ballots to state-provided verified citizen lists, has triggered swift lawsuits from Democratic attorneys general in states like California and Colorado, voting rights advocates, and rebukes from even Republican officials such as Iowa Secretary of State Paul Pate. Legal experts widely view the measure as an unconstitutional federal overreach into state-run elections, fueling rapid court filings for injunctions ahead of 2026 midterms. Trader consensus reflects this momentum with a 58% implied probability of a block in April, though procedural delays, venue disputes, or appeals could push resolution beyond the month.
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$2,703종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's March 31 executive order, "Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections," directing the US Postal Service to limit mail-in ballots to state-provided verified citizen lists, has triggered swift lawsuits from Democratic attorneys general in states like California and Colorado, voting rights advocates, and rebukes from even Republican officials such as Iowa Secretary of State Paul Pate. Legal experts widely view the measure as an unconstitutional federal overreach into state-run elections, fueling rapid court filings for injunctions ahead of 2026 midterms. Trader consensus reflects this momentum with a 58% implied probability of a block in April, though procedural delays, venue disputes, or appeals could push resolution beyond the month.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문