President Trump's March 31 executive order directing the U.S. Postal Service to restrict mail-in ballots to a federal list of verified citizens has prompted swift legal challenges, driving trader consensus toward a likely block. Over 23 Democratic-led states, the District of Columbia, and groups including the ACLU, NAACP, and Campaign Legal Center filed lawsuits in early April, arguing unconstitutional federal overreach into state election administration. Courts have previously halted similar Trump voting orders, reinforcing expectations of preliminary injunctions amid pending motions for expedited discovery and hearings. With no implementation yet and rapid litigation, markets price a 64.6% chance of blockage this month before 2026 midterms.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.04.30
신규
신규
2026.04.30
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's March 31 executive order directing the U.S. Postal Service to restrict mail-in ballots to a federal list of verified citizens has prompted swift legal challenges, driving trader consensus toward a likely block. Over 23 Democratic-led states, the District of Columbia, and groups including the ACLU, NAACP, and Campaign Legal Center filed lawsuits in early April, arguing unconstitutional federal overreach into state election administration. Courts have previously halted similar Trump voting orders, reinforcing expectations of preliminary injunctions amid pending motions for expedited discovery and hearings. With no implementation yet and rapid litigation, markets price a 64.6% chance of blockage this month before 2026 midterms.
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
거래량
$2,708종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's March 31 executive order directing the U.S. Postal Service to restrict mail-in ballots to a federal list of verified citizens has prompted swift legal challenges, driving trader consensus toward a likely block. Over 23 Democratic-led states, the District of Columbia, and groups including the ACLU, NAACP, and Campaign Legal Center filed lawsuits in early April, arguing unconstitutional federal overreach into state election administration. Courts have previously halted similar Trump voting orders, reinforcing expectations of preliminary injunctions amid pending motions for expedited discovery and hearings. With no implementation yet and rapid litigation, markets price a 64.6% chance of blockage this month before 2026 midterms.
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$2,708종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's March 31 executive order directing the U.S. Postal Service to restrict mail-in ballots to a federal list of verified citizens has prompted swift legal challenges, driving trader consensus toward a likely block. Over 23 Democratic-led states, the District of Columbia, and groups including the ACLU, NAACP, and Campaign Legal Center filed lawsuits in early April, arguing unconstitutional federal overreach into state election administration. Courts have previously halted similar Trump voting orders, reinforcing expectations of preliminary injunctions amid pending motions for expedited discovery and hearings. With no implementation yet and rapid litigation, markets price a 64.6% chance of blockage this month before 2026 midterms.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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