Joshua Van holds the UFC flyweight title after a controversial TKO win over Alexandre Pantoja in December 2025 when the former champion dislocated his elbow early in their UFC 323 clash, but trader consensus reflects skepticism about Van's first defense now delayed to UFC 328 on May 9 due to his minor injury. Pantoja, ranked No. 2 with a proven resume of submission wins and dominant decisions, eyes a rematch path, tying Tatsuro Taira—who boasts an 18-1 record highlighted by a knockout of Brandon Moreno—at 38.5% implied probability. The closely bunched top outcomes underscore the division's depth, with Taira's grappling edge and Van's 24% share hinging on his recovery and stylistic matchup against relentless contenders like No. 4 Manel Kape lurking.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Tatsuro Taira 40%
Alexandre Pantoja 39%
Joshua Van 24%
Kyoji Horiguchi 5.8%
$11,690 거래량
$11,690 거래량
Tatsuro Taira
40%
Alexandre Pantoja
39%
Joshua Van
24%
Kyoji Horiguchi
6%
Manel Kape
16%
Amir Albazi
1%
Asu Almabayev
1%
Steve Erceg
1%
Brandon Royval
<1%
Brandon Moreno
<1%
Tim Elliott
<1%
Tatsuro Taira 40%
Alexandre Pantoja 39%
Joshua Van 24%
Kyoji Horiguchi 5.8%
$11,690 거래량
$11,690 거래량
Tatsuro Taira
40%
Alexandre Pantoja
39%
Joshua Van
24%
Kyoji Horiguchi
6%
Manel Kape
16%
Amir Albazi
1%
Asu Almabayev
1%
Steve Erceg
1%
Brandon Royval
<1%
Brandon Moreno
<1%
Tim Elliott
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
마켓 개설일: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Joshua Van holds the UFC flyweight title after a controversial TKO win over Alexandre Pantoja in December 2025 when the former champion dislocated his elbow early in their UFC 323 clash, but trader consensus reflects skepticism about Van's first defense now delayed to UFC 328 on May 9 due to his minor injury. Pantoja, ranked No. 2 with a proven resume of submission wins and dominant decisions, eyes a rematch path, tying Tatsuro Taira—who boasts an 18-1 record highlighted by a knockout of Brandon Moreno—at 38.5% implied probability. The closely bunched top outcomes underscore the division's depth, with Taira's grappling edge and Van's 24% share hinging on his recovery and stylistic matchup against relentless contenders like No. 4 Manel Kape lurking.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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