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icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?
Technologia·Aplikacja

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?
Technologia·Aplikacja

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?

Ended: Sep 11

Sep 25

Ended: Sep 11

Sep 25

ChatGPT 100.0%

MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps <1%

Vinted <1%

7 Brew Coffee <1%

Polymarket

$11,991 Wol.

ChatGPT 100.0%

MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps <1%

Vinted <1%

7 Brew Coffee <1%

Polymarket

$11,991 Wol.

icon for MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps

MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps

$1,166 Wol.

No

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$8,076 Wol.

Yes

icon for Vinted

Vinted

$862 Wol.

No

icon for 7 Brew Coffee

7 Brew Coffee

$288 Wol.

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$363 Wol.

No

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$148 Wol.

No

icon for ESPN Fantasy Sports & More

ESPN Fantasy Sports & More

$1,088 Wol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT’s commanding 97.6% market-implied probability for the #1 free U.S. App Store spot on September 11 stems from its consistent top rankings in recent days, driven by ongoing user engagement with its large language model capabilities, a September 8 app update with bug fixes, and OpenAI’s September 10 announcement of new in-app experiences and an Apps SDK that expand functionality for free and paid users. As the leading productivity app with broad adoption, it benefits from network effects and regular feature refreshes like image generation and voice mode. A realistic challenge could arise from a sudden viral surge in another category leader, such as a seasonal sports or shopping app, or an unexpected promotional push that briefly overtakes downloads.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Wolumen
$11,991
Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT’s commanding 97.6% market-implied probability for the #1 free U.S. App Store spot on September 11 stems from its consistent top rankings in recent days, driven by ongoing user engagement with its large language model capabilities, a September 8 app update with bug fixes, and OpenAI’s September 10 announcement of new in-app experiences and an Apps SDK that expand functionality for free and paid users. As the leading productivity app with broad adoption, it benefits from network effects and regular feature refreshes like image generation and voice mode. A realistic challenge could arise from a sudden viral surge in another category leader, such as a seasonal sports or shopping app, or an unexpected promotional push that briefly overtakes downloads.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Wolumen
$11,991
Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

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Często zadawane pytania

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "ChatGPT" z 100%, za nim "MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?" wygenerował $12K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Sep 4, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?" jest "ChatGPT" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.