Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release clusters tightly around mid-to-late September 2026, driven primarily by recent social media leaks and routing tests suggesting an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—Opus 5 launched July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May—combined with the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1 has heightened expectations for rapid follow-on capability gains in reasoning and agentic tasks. Market-implied odds reflect this compressed timeline amid competitive pressure from other frontier large language models, yet the absence of official benchmarks, model cards, or announcements leaves room for slippage. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic developer updates or API changes that could confirm or delay the drop, underscoring how unverified signals currently shape trader consensus in this fast-moving AI release cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Claude Opus released on...?
Next Claude Opus released on...?
September 20 25%
September 24 11%
September 25 10%
September 29 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
On or prior to September 16
4%
September 17
6%
September 18
6%
September 19
1%
September 20
25%
September 21
6%
September 22
9%
September 23
9%
September 24
11%
September 25
10%
September 26
6%
September 27
6%
September 28
7%
September 29
10%
September 30
9%
No release by September 30
9%
September 20 25%
September 24 11%
September 25 10%
September 29 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
On or prior to September 16
$68 Wol.
4%
September 17
$397 Wol.
6%
September 18
$0 Wol.
6%
September 19
$447 Wol.
1%
September 20
$447 Wol.
25%
September 21
$0 Wol.
6%
September 22
$0 Wol.
9%
September 23
$0 Wol.
9%
September 24
$0 Wol.
11%
September 25
$0 Wol.
10%
September 26
$447 Wol.
6%
September 27
$447 Wol.
6%
September 28
$0 Wol.
7%
September 29
$0 Wol.
10%
September 30
$0 Wol.
9%
No release by September 30
$0 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release clusters tightly around mid-to-late September 2026, driven primarily by recent social media leaks and routing tests suggesting an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—Opus 5 launched July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May—combined with the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1 has heightened expectations for rapid follow-on capability gains in reasoning and agentic tasks. Market-implied odds reflect this compressed timeline amid competitive pressure from other frontier large language models, yet the absence of official benchmarks, model cards, or announcements leaves room for slippage. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic developer updates or API changes that could confirm or delay the drop, underscoring how unverified signals currently shape trader consensus in this fast-moving AI release cycle.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,253Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release clusters tightly around mid-to-late September 2026, driven primarily by recent social media leaks and routing tests suggesting an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—Opus 5 launched July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May—combined with the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1 has heightened expectations for rapid follow-on capability gains in reasoning and agentic tasks. Market-implied odds reflect this compressed timeline amid competitive pressure from other frontier large language models, yet the absence of official benchmarks, model cards, or announcements leaves room for slippage. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic developer updates or API changes that could confirm or delay the drop, underscoring how unverified signals currently shape trader consensus in this fast-moving AI release cycle.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$2,253Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the next Claude Opus release clusters tightly around mid-to-late September 2026, driven primarily by recent social media leaks and routing tests suggesting an Opus 5.2 update as early as September 17–18. Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus iterations—Opus 5 launched July 24 after Opus 4.8 in May—combined with the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1 has heightened expectations for rapid follow-on capability gains in reasoning and agentic tasks. Market-implied odds reflect this compressed timeline amid competitive pressure from other frontier large language models, yet the absence of official benchmarks, model cards, or announcements leaves room for slippage. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic developer updates or API changes that could confirm or delay the drop, underscoring how unverified signals currently shape trader consensus in this fast-moving AI release cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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